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Wilson: The 4 Bowl Games I Bet Right Away

Dec 04, 2018 9:00 AM EST
  • Bowl season is still two weeks away from getting underway, but Collin Wilson has a few games he bet right off the bat.
  • He has early picks in four bowl games: The Fiesta Bowl (UCF-LSU), Music City Bowl (Purdue-Auburn), Las Vegas Bowl (Arizona State-Fresno State) and Alamo Bowl (Iowa State-Washington State).

After 15 weeks of regular-season games, the college football world comes to a crescendo with bowl season. It seems like yesterday when Week Zero provided us feelings that Cole McDonald would win the Heisman and Wyoming football was the class of the Mountain West.

Alas, we are an Army-Navy game away from the postseason. It’s perfectly fine to celebrate Belk Bowl bad beats, Bad Boy Mower jokes, and the return of Spuddy Buddy.

5Dimes and Caesars Entertainment led the effort on Sunday to release lines for all bowls as they were announced.

I was able to get action at both outlets, and while we’ll have full previews on every bowl in the coming weeks, here is a quick mention about some of the teams I made investment on today.


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All data below as of Monday morning. Download The Action Network app to get real-time odds, track your bets and follow all of our experts’ picks.


Valero Alamo Bowl

Iowa State v. Washington State

  • Spread: Washington State -6.5
  • Projected Total: 54
  • Date: Dec. 28
  • Time: 9 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN

This number makes absolutely no sense. The Action Network projections line this game at Washington State -1, while Caesars in Las Vegas opened the Cougars -1.5.

I would argue that you could throw the numbers out and make Iowa State the favorite to win this game. Mike Leach is 1-3 ATS the spread in bowl games, with his lone cover coming against an interim staff in a snowy Sun Bowl back in 2015.

While this may not be the bowl game the Cougars had in mind, Leach’s Air Raid offense will have over a month to keep a rhythm after a loss in the Apple Cup.

Iowa State has experience against the Air Raid, specifically a 40-31 victory over Texas Tech. The Cyclones were able to pick quarterback Alan Bowman off three times in the victory.

If we can keep football teams from head coach Matt Campbell’s home state of Ohio to quit calling, we will be fading the Pac 12 in this spot.

PICK: Iowa State +6.5


Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl

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Credit:

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Gardner Minshew (16), Brock Purdy (15).

Follow Collin Wilson on Twitter
@_Collin1

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
59
-4
59
-3.5
64.5
-11
67.5
-7.5
52
-3
52.5
-5
48
PK
47.5
+2.5
50.5
-7.5
50
-6.5
-2.5
44
-2.5
43
55
-4.5
54
-3
-3
54.5
-3
55
-6
66.5
-5.5
68.5
48
-11
49.5
-12
-2.5
73
-3.5
74.5
67.5
-5
60
-3
-3
53.5
-2
51.5
-1.5
57.5
-1
60
55
-3.5
56
-3
61
-3.5
60
-5.5
41
-2
40.5
PK
56.5
-3
55
-3.5
-3
47
-4
48
-6.5
55
-3.5
55
54.5
-5
54.5
-3.5
-7
74
-1.5
68
54.5
-6.5
55
-3.5
50.5
-6
50.5
-7.5
-6.5
55
-4
54.5
-2
58.5
-1.5
60
56
-11
55
-11.5
79
-13.5
80.5
-14
-6.5
53.5
-5
53.5
-6.5
52
-6.5
52
48
-1.5
48
-3
-10
71
-8
74
45
-6.5
46
-7
58.5
-4.5
58.5
-6
-5
44.5
-7
44
-8
54.5
-7.5
55.5
48
-4
47.5
-6.5
58.5
-5
58
-6.5
58
-10.5
58
-11.5

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