College Football Bowl Projections: Brett McMurphy’s Week 10 Predictions With Projected Spreads
James Gilbert/Getty Images. Pictured: Florida State’s Jordan Travis.
In the past two weeks, the Los Angeles and Holiday bowls have new naming rights sponsors, and the Bahamas Bowl announced it will be played this season in Charlotte because of stadium renovations in the Bahamas.
No more Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl? The Bahamas Bowl in Charlotte? Is nothing sacred in college football anymore?
Apparently not. Onto this week’s bowl projections.
With four weeks remaining in the regular season, 40 teams are bowl eligible. I’m still projecting there won’t be enough bowl-eligible teams to fill all 82 spots. That’s great for James Madison and Jacksonville State, which can earn bids if there are not enough bowl-eligible teams.
Also, Northwestern — yes, Northwestern — joins JMU and Jacksonville State in this week’s projections because the Wildcats would have the highest APR of potential 5-7 teams.
Here are my Week 10 projections — and each projection includes the projected point spread for each bowl based on Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s updated college football betting power ratings.
CFP National Championship Prediction
College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections
Rose Bowl Jan. 1 • Pasadena, CA Michigan -4.5 Florida State | Allstate Sugar Bowl Jan. 1 • New Orleans, LA Georgia -8.5 Texas |
New Year's Six Bowl Games
Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Jan. 1 • Glendale, AZ Washington -14 Air Force | Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Dec. 30 • Atlanta, GA Alabama -2.5 Notre Dame |
Capital One Orange Bowl Dec. 30 • Miami, FL Ohio State -13 Louisville | Goodyear Cotton Bowl Dec. 29 • Arlington, TX Oklahoma St. Oregon -16 |
Projections for All Other Bowl Games
Cheez-It Citrus Bowl Jan. 1 • Orlando, FL Ole Miss -0.5 Penn State | ReliaQuest Bowl Jan. 1 • Tampa, FL UNC LSU -8.5 | Arizona Bowl Dec. 30 • Tucson, AZ UNLV -9.5 E. Michigan | Music City Bowl Dec. 30 • Nashville, TN Florida -1 Wisconsin | AutoZone Liberty Bowl Dec. 29 • Memphis, TN Kentucky -1.5 TCU | Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Dec. 29 • El Paso, TX Clemson Oregon State -0.5 | TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Dec. 29 • Jacksonville, FL Tennessee -8 Miami | Valero Alamo Bowl Dec. 28 • San Antonio, TX Oklahoma -3 USC | Pop-Tarts Bowl Dec. 28 • Orlando, FL NC State Kansas State -13.5 | Pinstripe Bowl Dec. 28 • Bronx, NY Boston College Rutgers -5.5 | Wasabi Fenway Bowl Dec. 28 • Boston, MA Tulane -3 Syracuse | TaxAct Texas Bowl Dec. 27 • Houston, TX Texas A&M -7 Kansas | Holiday Bowl Dec. 27 • San Diego, CA Duke Utah -4 | Duke's Mayo Bowl Dec. 27 • Charlotte, NC Missouri -13 Virginia Tech | Military Bowl Dec. 27 • Annapolis, MD Georgia Tech -9 Navy | Guaranteed Rate Bowl Dec. 26 • Phoenix, AZ Iowa State -5.5 Nebraska | First Responder Bowl Dec. 26 • Dallas, TX UTSA -7.5 Georgia St. | Quick Lane Bowl Dec. 26 • Detroit, MI Minnesota -6 Miami OH | EasyPost Hawai'i Bowl Dec. 23 • Honolulu, HI Fresno State SMU -5 | Las Vegas Bowl Dec. 23 • Las Vegas, NV Arizona -6.5 Iowa | 68 Ventures Bowl Dec. 23 • Mobile, AL Louisiana -4 Jacksonville St. | Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Dec. 23 • Boise, ID Colorado St. NIU -0.5 | Armed Forces Bowl Dec. 23 • Fort Worth, TX West Virginia -9 Northwestern | Camellia Bowl Dec. 23 • Montgomery, AL Marshall -11 Bowling Green | Birmingham Bowl Dec. 23 • Birmingham, AL Mississippi St. Maryland -4 | Gasparilla Bowl Dec. 22 • Tampa, FL Auburn -18 South Florida | Boca Raton Bowl Dec. 21 • Boca Raton, FL Memphis JMU -0.5 | Frisco Bowl Dec. 19 • Frisco, TX Rice Texas State -1 | Myrtle Beach Bowl Dec. 18 • Conway, SC Coastal Carolina Ohio -4.5 | Independence Bowl Dec. 16 • Shreveport, LA BYU Washington St. -7 | LA Bowl Dec. 16 • Inglewood, CA UCLA -12 Boise State | New Mexico Bowl Dec. 16 • Albuquerque, NM Wyoming -3.5 New Mexico St. | Cure Bowl Dec. 16 • Orlando, FL Georgia Southern Toledo -5.5 | New Orleans Bowl Dec. 16 • New Orleans, LA Liberty Troy -2.5 | Bahamas Bowl Dec. 16 • Charlotte, NC C. Michigan WKU -4.5 |
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