College Football Betting Tip: Target Favorites in the FCS Playoffs

College Football Betting Tip: Target Favorites in the FCS Playoffs article feature image
Credit:

Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: North Dakota State Bison wide receiver Darrius Shepherd

  • The quarterfinals of the FCS playoffs start on Friday.
  • Using Bet Labs, we examine how bettors should approach these matchups.

The College Football Playoff has been set and bowl season is on the horizon. But before we get to the postseason there is one last regular season game.

On Saturday, Army and Navy will take the field for their annual showdown (3 p.m. ET, CBS). Besides this service academy matchup, there isn’t much for college football bettors.

With wagering options scarce, some might be tempted to bet on the quarterfinals of the 2019 FCS playoffs. If you are like most college football fans, you don’t know anything about the football subdivision. ESPN doesn’t even track statistics for the FCS.

With no knowledge, how can bettors wager on the FCS playoffs?

A simple strategy for sports betting is fading the public. The logic is simple: whichever team casual bettors load up on, simply bet the other team.

Here is how betting against the public has worked in the FCS playoffs:

Betting against the public doesn’t work in the FCS playoffs. Why? These games do not receive much action. With few bets, there is no public to fade.

If it has not been profitable to fade the public, then gamblers should follow the crowd. This often means betting the chalk.

Since 2005, favorites in the FCS playoffs have gone 85-73-1 (54%) against the spread (ATS). Teams favored by more than three points are 69-53-1 (57%) ATS.

Bettors wagering on the FCS playoffs should go chalk this weekend.

There are currently no lines listed for this games, but be sure to check The Action Network app for updated lines.

  • James Madison vs. Northern Iowa (Friday, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
  • Montana State vs. Austin Peay (Friday, 8 p.m. ET, ESPN3)
  • Weber State vs. Montana (Friday, 10 p.m. ET, ESPN2)
  • North Dakota State vs. Illinois State (Saturday, 12 p.m. ET, ESPN)

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