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College Football Odds & Weather for Bowling Green vs. Toledo: Windy Forecast Expected at Glass Bowl (Wednesday, Nov. 4)

College Football Odds & Weather for Bowling Green vs. Toledo: Windy Forecast Expected at Glass Bowl (Wednesday, Nov. 4) article feature image

Justin Casterline/Getty Images. Pictured: Saeed Holt

  • No one loves betting the under -- especially for midweek MACtion, but bettors need to pay attention to one weather forecast in particular on Wednesday night.
  • Danny Donahue provides a weather report for betting tonight's Bowling Green vs. Toledo game, which calls for crosswinds at the Glass Bowl.
  • Read on to find out what that wind forecast means for MACtion bettors and what to expect from oddsmakers as 8 p.m. ET kickoff approaches.

College Football Odds: Bowling Green vs. Toledo

Bowling Green Odds +24 [BET NOW]
Toledo Odds -24 [BET NOW]
Moneyline +925/-1550 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 62.5 [BET NOW]
Time 8 p.m. ET
Odds via PointsBet, where you can get $250 FREE instantly after signing up.

While Mother Nature doesn’t take any days off, she was missing a slate of games on which to take effect last night.

Well, that won’t be the case going forward. With the MAC’s return to action Wednesday night, we’re now facing 20 consecutive days of football, kicking off with a MACtion six-pack this evening.

Of those six games, there’s one in particular whose forecast bettors will want to be aware of.

Note: Odds, forecast as of 10:30 a.m. ET.

College Football Weather: Bowling Green vs. Toledo

Clear skies and temperatures in the upper 50s sure sound like a nice night for football, but you’ll want to pay attention to what’s listed below that in the following table.

Winds of 13 to 15 mph are expected at the Glass Bowl in Toledo tonight. And if history is any indication, that’s enough for a simple, yet profitable, betting system.

Since 2005 (the start of our college football database), college football games played in winds of at least 13 mph have hit the under at a 57% rate. And that’s on a sample of nearly 1,000 games (538-406-34).

The theory makes plenty of sense: with increased wind comes increased passing difficulty. That’s not only going to decrease the number of big passing plays, but it’ll also make each offense more reliant on the running game, which keeps the clock moving for much of the game. On top of all that, a sideline-to-sideline wind (like tonight’s) is going to make each field goal attempt more challenging regardless of its direction.

As of writing, this total sits at 62.5 — up a point from its consensus opener. But as kickoff approaches, it’s certainly possible that oddsmakers and bettors take make note of the wind forecast and change course.

You can track the betting market’s reaction, including updated betting and money percentages, here.

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