2021 Frisco Bowl Odds, Pick, Prediction: Model Edge on San Diego State vs. UTSA (Dec. 21)

2021 Frisco Bowl Odds, Pick, Prediction: Model Edge on San Diego State vs. UTSA (Dec. 21) article feature image

Ken Murray/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Head Coach Jeff Traylor of the UTSA Roadrunners celebrates.

SDSU vs. UTSA Odds

San Diego State Odds-2.5
UTSA Odds+2.5
DateTuesday, Dec. 21
Time7:30 p.m. ET

*Odds as of Tuesday morning

It's bowl season, which is when the most casual of college football bettors come out of the woodwork to get down on games they normally wouldn't touch with a 10-foot pole.

UTSA vs. San Diego State buried on a typical regular season Saturday slate? Meh.

Put it in on ESPN in primetime on a weeknight? Yes, please!

However, because of COVID-19, the NFL was forced to postpone a handful of Sunday's Week 15 games, including the Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams and Washington Football Team vs. Philadelphia Eagles, which both kick off at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, 30 minutes before the Frisco Bowl.

Fans and bettors will still show plenty of interest in San Diego State vs. UTSA, but it's likely to be a bit more muted than if the Frisco Bowl was Tuesday night's lone primetime football matchup.

And for those solely looking for the best available values, San Diego State vs. UTSA isn't only offering the biggest betting model edge across the four football matchups, savvy bettors can increase it even further simply by shopping for the market.

Let me explain in more detail below.

San Diego State vs. UTSA Betting Model Predictions

The Action Network's College Football PRO Projections make this spread UTSA -0.2 entering the game. However, the current consensus line is +2.5, resulting in a 5.6% edge right there.

But as I mentioned above, those willing to put in a little extra work can easily find the Roadrunners at +3 (-110), which is the latest number at BetMGM as of the time of writing — a major boon for bettors by locking in the most important line in football betting.

Bottom line: By getting down on UTSA +3, savvy bettors can grab a full field goal in a game that our model suggests is essentially a Pick'em matchup.

PRO Projections Pick: UTSA +3

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