Penn State vs. Wisconsin Week 1 Odds, Picks: Sharp Early Action Moving This Big Ten Spread
Alika Jenner/Getty Images. Pictured: Head coach Paul Chryst of the Wisconsin Badgers.
Penn State vs. Wisconsin Odds
|Penn State Odds||+4.5|
|Time||12 p.m. ET|
*The Penn State vs. Wisconsin over/under was not yet available as of July 30
The college football Week 1 betting market is picking up and this time it's the Big Ten attracting the early attention.
On July 28, I highlighted Northern Illinois vs. Georgia Tech as an under-the-radar Week 1 matchup that has already landed market-moving money.
Now, we can add Penn State vs. Wisconsin to that list.
Using The Action Network's college football betting tools and data, let's break down the Penn State vs. Wisconsin sharp money move that most bettors have likely missed.
Penn State vs. Wisconsin Pick
DraftKings opened the the Penn State vs. Wisconsin Week 1 spread at Badgers -3.5 on June 14, and the line sat at that exact number for nearly a month and a half.
However, that's when wiseguy action started shaping this number.
Action Labs' Bet Signals are reporting steam hitting Wisconsin late on the morning of July 28, forcing a spread adjustment from oddsmakers.
As you can see from the screenshot on the line chart above, the Penn State vs. Wisconsin spread did nothing for weeks before a 1-point adjustment. That coincides with a Steam Move trigger, pushing this number from Wiscy -3.5 to -4.5 (click here for the most recent college football odds).
Considering there's still more than a month until this game kicks off, there's no guarantee this line stays where it is or that respected bettors don't buy back Penn State at a discount from its opener.
But based on the data that's available to us right now, it's clear that smart money is the reason for the early Penn State vs. Wisconsin line movement.