Monday Night Football closes Week 3 at Soldier Field, and injuries to Caleb Williams and Tyson Bagent shape how my best NFL bets today lean. Trade Eagles vs. Bears on Polymarket in a game the hosting Bears are 3.5 point underdogs entering this evening.
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Best NFL Bets Today: Polymarket Prices at a Glance
Polymarket quotes NFL odds in cents, so the price you see in the chart below doubles as the implied probability. That transparency makes line shopping simple for new and experienced traders alike.
Notice the disconnect between the final outcome and spread markets. Traders price Philadelphia as a two thirds favorite outright, yet the spread sits essentially at a coin flip. That gap drives the best NFL bets today on my card.
Eagles vs. Bears Preview
Here is everything that matters before you trade Eagles vs. Bears prediction markets.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) vs. Chicago Bears (1-1)
- Kickoff: Monday, Sept. 28, 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN
- Quarterback news: Caleb Williams sits with a hamstring injury. Case Keenum starts, with Tyson Bagent behind him after clearing concussion protocol.
- Line movement: Look ahead markets had Chicago favored by 1.5 before Williams' injury. Philadelphia now sits at -3.5.
- Volume: Roughly $2.27 million has been traded on this game alone.
Best NFL Bets Today
Without any further ado, here are my three best NFL bets today to trade on prediction market apps like Polymarket:
Pick 1: Bears +3.5 (50¢)
I keep coming back to how Chicago's defense played last week, not how the offense looked.
- The Bears held Minnesota to 246 total yards, 11 first downs and a 3 for 13 mark on third down.
- Philadelphia allows 4.2 yards per carry and ranks 26th in yards after contact allowed at 3.26.
- The Eagles sit 0-2 against the spread and won both games by a combined six points.
- Chicago went 3-0 against the spread as a home underdog last season.
Ben Johnson leans on play action, motion and early down runs to protect a backup. That formula keeps games close. This price for a home dog getting a field goal plus the hook reads like the cleanest number on the board.
Pick 2: Under 41.5 (50¢)
The total already dropped from 43.5 to 41.5, and I still want the Under for two reasons:
- Keenum has not started a regular season game since 2023, which drags Chicago's scoring ceiling way down.
- Philadelphia scored 24 and 22 points in its two wins, both ugly, low tempo affairs.
A grinding, clock heavy prime time game fits both offenses. I treat this as the safest of my best NFL bets today for anyone who prefers lower variance.
Pick 3: D'Andre Swift Anytime Touchdown (41¢)
Polymarket traders list Swift and Saquon Barkley as co favorites on the anytime touchdown board, and Swift trades near even money. I take that price every time in this spot.
- Keenum makes his first regular season start since 2023, so expect Ben Johnson to lean on the ground game to shorten the field and protect his quarterback.
- Swift already proved his ceiling. He piled up 124 yards and three touchdowns against Carolina in Week 1.
- Swift also led Chicago in receiving last week with 54 yards on five catches, so a checkdown near the goal line pays this ticket just the same as a goal-line rush attempt does.
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