Monday Night Football has a legitimate Super Bowl preview on tap, and this Bills vs Rams prediction rounds up our best NFL prop bets today straight from the live Polymarket board.
- The Bills arrive 3-1 off a tough 29-26 loss to the Patriots, while the Rams sit 2-2 and are favored at home in just their second game back at SoFi Stadium this NFL season.
- It's a matchup of reigning and former league MVPs at quarterback, with Los Angeles trading at 62% to win outright and the total sitting at one of the highest marks on this week's board, 54.5.
Here is our full NFL picks table before we break down each of the best NFL prop bets today and the full touchdown scorer board tonight.
| 🏈 MNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford 275+ Passing Yards | Yes | 54¢ | $85.19 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Kyren Williams Under 69.5 Rushing Yards | Under | 53¢ | $88.68 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Josh Allen Anytime Touchdown | Yes | 52¢ | $92.31 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
Best NFL Player Props for Bills vs Rams
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Best Passing Yards Prop Today – Matthew Stafford 275+ Yards
| 🏈 MNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford 275+ Passing Yards | Yes | 54¢ | $85.19 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Buffalo's pass defense has been one of the league's bigger trouble spots early this season, surrendering heavy yardage through the air and giving opposing quarterbacks real room to work.
The Rams have leaned into the air attack as a result, ranking near the top of the league in pass attempts per game, and Stafford gets a healthy Puka Nacua back alongside Davante Adams for a Monday night shootout at home.
On the prediction market app itself, a $100 buy at a 54¢ average price works out to roughly 185 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.
- If Stafford clears 275 passing yards: this ticket nets a profit of $85.19.
- If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.
It's close to a coin flip, but the matchup context points toward a heavy workload for the reigning MVP in prime time.
Best Rushing Yards Prop Today – Kyren Williams Under 69.5 Yards
| 🏈 MNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyren Williams Under 69.5 Rushing Yards | Under | 53¢ | $88.68 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Blake Corum has quietly eaten into Kyren Williams' workload all season, already handling a big share of the carries between the two Rams backs through four games.
Williams has made up ground as a receiver instead, piling up catches over his last two outings, which means his overall involvement doesn't have to show up on the ground to stay useful to the offense.
A $100 buy at a 53¢ average price is good for roughly 189 shares on this ticket.
- If Williams stays under 69.5 rushing yards: this ticket nets a profit of $88.68.
- If he goes over: the $100 stake is gone entirely.
A near coin-flip number on a back who's sharing touches more than his box score role suggests.
Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Josh Allen
| 🏈 MNF Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen Anytime Touchdown | Yes | 52¢ | $92.31 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Allen has handled a heavy share of red-zone carries from inside the 10-yard line this season and has turned most of those chances into touchdowns, even with James Cook also mixing in near the goal line.
Playing indoors against a Rams defense that's allowed touchdowns on well over half of opponents' red-zone trips this season, Allen's path to the end zone looks wide open on Monday night.
A $100 buy at a 52¢ average price is roughly 192 shares here, each worth $1 if the contract hits.
- If Allen scores a touchdown: this ticket nets a profit of $92.31.
- If he doesn't: the $100 stake is lost entirely, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.
Another near coin-flip price, and the pick we'd point to first on tonight's board given how often Allen finishes drives himself.
Bills vs Rams Moneyline
Before the board dives into player props, here's where this Bills vs Rams prediction stands on the base game lines tonight.
Los Angeles Rams Moneyline
Los Angeles is priced as the clear home favorite, sitting at 62% to win outright on the moneyline tonight.
Buffalo Bills Moneyline
Buffalo is the road underdog at 38% to win outright, a tough number for a team that's covered in three of its four games this season.
Spread and Total for MNF Best Bets
Los Angeles is laying a field goal plus the hook tonight, and the total sits at 54.5, one of the highest marks on this week's full NFL slate.
Bills vs Rams Spread
Los Angeles to win by more than 3.5 points is priced at 48% Yes against 52% No, essentially a coin flip on the exact margin.
Bills vs Rams Total
The total sits at 54.5 points, priced at 49% Yes on the over against 52% No on the under.
First TD Scorer Predictions
Here's the full first touchdown scorer board for tonight's game, where only one player on the field can cash.
- Kyren Williams (First TD Scorer: Yes 15%): tops the board despite never having opened the scoring in a game this season.
- Josh Allen (First TD Scorer: Yes 12%): a real sneak threat given his goal-line workload this season.
- James Cook III (First TD Scorer: Yes 12%): still the Bills' clear lead back on early downs.
- Puka Nacua (First TD Scorer: Yes 11%): back healthy and already a heavy target earner.
- Davante Adams (First TD Scorer: Yes 10%): the Rams' top red-zone target even with Nacua back.
- Dalton Kincaid (First TD Scorer: Yes 6%): due for a get-right game after two quiet weeks.
- Keon Coleman (First TD Scorer: Yes 5%): a boundary deep-shot threat for Buffalo.
- Tyler Higbee (First TD Scorer: Yes 5%): a reliable secondary red-zone look behind the big three.
- Khalil Shakir (First TD Scorer: Yes 5%): Buffalo's top slot option against a Rams defense that's soft there.
- Colby Parkinson (First TD Scorer: Yes 5%): a sneaky red-zone body in the Rams' tight end room.
- Blake Corum (First TD Scorer: Yes 4%): change-of-pace equity behind Williams.
What's Moving the Market
Prediction markets and prices move for many reasons. This week, our best NFL prop bets today lean on two things: the Rams' pass-heavy approach now that Nacua is back at full strength, and a Buffalo pass defense that's allowed heavy yardage through the air all season.
That same matchup read is exactly why Stafford's passing yardage number sits as the safest play on tonight's board.
Early action has also squeezed Kyren Williams' rushing total down, a sign the market has caught onto Blake Corum's rising workload between the two Rams backs, while Josh Allen's goal-line usage keeps his touchdown price near a coin flip despite Buffalo coming in as the road underdog.
Use Polymarket Promo Code to Trade MNF Best Bets
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Best NFL Prop Bets Today: Final Thoughts
Two MVP-caliber quarterbacks, a 54.5-point total, and a Super Bowl-preview atmosphere at SoFi Stadium make this one of the most interesting single-game boards of the week. Stafford's yardage number stands out as the safest play given Buffalo's struggles through the air, while Allen's touchdown price offers real value given how much of Buffalo's goal-line work still runs through him. For more on how these markets work, Action Network's beginner's guide to Polymarket is a good starting point, and the full prediction markets hub covers every other sport in season right now.
Polymarket Promo Code FAQs
Who wins the Bills vs Rams prediction tonight?
The Polymarket board of the best NFL prop bets today favors Los Angeles at 62% to win outright, with the Rams also laying 3.5 points on the spread.
What are the best NFL player props for this game?
Our top plays among the best NFL prop bets today lean on Matthew Stafford's passing yardage floor, Kyren Williams' rushing total given Blake Corum's rising workload, and Josh Allen's touchdown equity near the goal line.
Who tops the first touchdown scorer board for Bills vs Rams?
Kyren Williams leads the full board at 15%, followed closely by Josh Allen and James Cook III, both at 12%.
What time does Bills vs Rams kick off?
This one plays out during tonight's Monday Night Football window on ESPN/ABC from SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles, with kickoff at 8:15 PM ET.
Are there more NFL prediction markets to trade today?
Yes. Beyond these player props, Polymarket has moneyline, spread, and total markets live for tonight's game, plus markets across other sports, so these MNF best bets are just one slice of what's tradeable right now.
