Our Brewers vs Padres predictions for Game 3 of this NLDS rounds up the best MLB player props and home run predictions today straight from the live Kalshi board.
- The Brewers rode an MLB-best regular season into October behind likely NL Cy Young winner Jacob Misiorowski, and Game 3 marks the first time these two clubs have ever met in the playoffs.
- The Padres stormed into this series fresh off a sweep of the Cubs in the Wild Card round, and they lean on Nick Pivetta and a deep bullpen to try to keep pace with Milwaukee's rotation tonight.
Here is our full picks table before we break down every editor's pick, the moneyline and total, and every player prop on the board tonight, built around the best MLB player props today with Kalshi.
| ⚾ Game 3 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang (MIL) 1+ Hits | Yes | 61¢ | $161.72 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Nick Pivetta (SD) 4+ Strikeouts | Yes | 60¢ | $164.35 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Dustin May (MIL) 4+ Strikeouts | Yes | 38¢ | $257.55 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 2+ Hits | Yes | 29¢ | $333.61 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) 2+ Hits | Yes | 26¢ | $374.88 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Jackson Chourio HR Yes | Yes | 18¢ | $455.56 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. HR Yes | Yes | 17¢ | $571.58 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Manny Machado (SD) HR Yes | Yes | 16¢ | $607.12 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
Best MLB Player Props Today for Milwaukee vs San Diego
Every pick below is a real trade we'd make after redeeming the Kalshi promo code (ACTION2000), part of our best MLB player props today for this entire matchup, ranked from the safest number down to the long shots.
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Best Hits Prop Today – Brice Turang
| ⚾ Game 3 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang (MIL) 1+ Hits | Yes | 61¢ | $161.72 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Turang has settled in at the top of Milwaukee's lineup all season, and a near coin-flip number like this one reflects a contact hitter who rarely goes multiple games without reaching base.
San Diego's pitching staff has leaned on its bullpen heavily through this series, and a parade of fresh arms late in games tends to favor a bat-to-ball hitter picking up a single off the bench.
On the ticket itself, a $100 buy at a 61¢ average price works out to roughly 164 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.
- If Turang picks up a hit: this ticket nets a profit of $161.72.
- If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.
It's close to a pick'em price, but the payout still returns more than 1.6x your stake.
Best Strikeouts Prop Today – Nick Pivetta
| ⚾ Game 3 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta (SD) 4+ Strikeouts | Yes | 60¢ | $164.35 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Pivetta gets the ball for San Diego in a win-or-stay-alive spot, and he's shown swing-and-miss stuff capable of clearing four strikeouts against a Milwaukee lineup that will chase pitches out of the zone in volume.
The Brewers have struck out at a high clip against pitchers who can spot a breaking ball in this series, and Pivetta's secondary pitches have been his best weapon all year.
A $100 buy at a 60¢ average price is roughly 167 shares here, each worth $1 on a Yes resolution.
- If Pivetta reaches four strikeouts: this ticket nets a profit of $164.35.
- If he doesn't: the $100 stake is lost entirely, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.
A near coin-flip price for a strikeout artist starting an elimination-adjacent game.
Best Strikeouts Prop Today – Dustin May
| ⚾ Game 3 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin May (MIL) 4+ Strikeouts | Yes | 38¢ | $257.55 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
May gets a start for a Brewers staff that has mixed and matched arms all series, and his power fastball gives him swing-and-miss equity even on a limited pitch count.
Four strikeouts is a meaningful bar for a pitcher working in more of a depth-starter role, which is exactly why the market has him priced as a true underdog here.
A $100 buy at a 38¢ average price is roughly 263 shares, each worth $1 if the contract hits.
- If May reaches four strikeouts: this ticket nets a profit of $257.55.
- If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost.
A real longshot number, but the payout here is more than 2.5x your stake.
Best Hits Prop Today – Fernando Tatis Jr.
| ⚾ Game 3 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) 2+ Hits | Yes | 29¢ | $333.61 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Tatis has been one of the most dangerous bats in this series, and a two-hit game is a realistic outcome for a hitter who squares up the ball as consistently as he does.
Milwaukee's pitching staff will have to work around him all night, and even a cautious approach often means a well-placed single sneaks through.
A $100 buy at a 29¢ average price comes out to roughly 345 shares on this ticket.
- If Tatis picks up two or more hits: this ticket nets a profit of $333.61.
- If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost.
A little better than 3.3-to-1 on the payout, a fair price for a hitter capable of a multi-hit night at any moment.
Best Hits Prop Today – Jackson Chourio
| ⚾ Game 3 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) 2+ Hits | Yes | 26¢ | $374.88 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Chourio has been the engine of Milwaukee's lineup all season, and a two-hit line is well within range against a Padres staff leaning hard on its bullpen in this series.
He's shown the bat-to-ball skills to rack up hits in bunches, and tonight's matchup doesn't change that equation.
A $100 buy at a 26¢ average price is roughly 385 shares on this ticket, each worth $1 on a Yes resolution.
- If Chourio picks up two or more hits: this ticket nets a profit of $374.88.
- If he doesn't: the $100 stake is lost entirely, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.
Just under 3.8-to-1 on the payout multiple, a real number for a hitter who's been locked in this October.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Jackson Chourio
| ⚾ Game 3 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio HR Yes | Yes | 18¢ | $455.56 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Chourio's raw power translates against any arm San Diego rolls out, and an 18% chance to leave the yard reflects a hitter who's capable of a mistake-punishing swing at any point in the game.
He's a middle-of-the-order fixture for a Brewers lineup that doesn't need to change approach against a bullpen game.
A $100 buy at an 18¢ average price works out to roughly 556 shares, each worth $1 if the contract resolves Yes.
- If Chourio goes deep: this ticket nets a profit of $455.56.
- If he doesn't: the full $100 stake is lost, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.
A longer-shot swing, but the payout multiple here is more than 4.5-to-1.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Fernando Tatis Jr.
| ⚾ Game 3 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. HR Yes | Yes | 17¢ | $571.58 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Tatis is as complete a power threat as exists in this sport, and a Milwaukee staff that's already burned extra arms this series isn't an ideal matchup for a club trying to protect its best bullpen pieces for length.
He's capable of hitting a ball out to any part of the yard, and the 17% price here reflects a true power threat rather than a throwaway long shot.
On the ticket, a $100 buy at a 17¢ average price is roughly 588 shares, each worth $1 on a Yes resolution.
- If Tatis homers: this ticket nets a profit of $571.58.
- If he doesn't: the $100 stake is lost entirely, since Kalshi contracts settle all-or-nothing.
Just under 5.7-to-1 on the payout multiple, a real number for one of the most feared bats in the sport.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Manny Machado
| ⚾ Game 3 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) HR Yes | Yes | 16¢ | $607.12 | Trade it now on Kalshi! |
Machado remains the straw that stirs San Diego's lineup, and his track record of showing up in big postseason moments gives this longshot real juice.
A Brewers pitching staff working through a bullpen game creates exactly the kind of mid-game matchup where a hitter of his caliber can do damage.
A $100 buy at a 16¢ average price is good for roughly 625 shares on this ticket.
- If Machado connects: this ticket nets a profit of $607.12.
- If not: the $100 stake is gone entirely.
The deepest longshot on the board tonight, priced accordingly for a true power bat who doesn't homer every night.
Milwaukee vs San Diego Moneyline and Total
| ⚾ Game 3 Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Moneyline | Yes | 56¢ | $175.85 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Milwaukee Moneyline (San Diego -56¢ NO) | No | 45¢ | $122.22 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Over 7.5 runs scored | Yes | 48¢ | $204.60 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Under 7.5 runs scored | No | 53¢ | $88.68 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
What's Moving the Market for Milwaukee vs San Diego
San Diego sits as a modest 57% favorite on the prediction markets apps boards tonight, a number that leans on home-field comfort and a lineup that's been the more consistent offense through this series.
The home run board tells its own story. Tatis and Machado both sit in the high-teens, a reflection of two middle-of-the-order bats who can change the game with one swing against a Milwaukee staff piecing together innings in a bullpen game.
Chourio's 18% home run price and his two separate hits props show the market pricing him as Milwaukee's best individual weapon tonight, picking up where his breakout season left off.
On the pitching side, Pivetta's shorter price on strikeouts compared to May's reflects the gap between a Padres starter attacking hitters and a Brewers arm working in more of a depth role, and that split is shaping the best MLB player props today across this entire board.
How to Trade This Board on Kalshi
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- Read a comprehensive Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
- When you're ready, sign up with Kalshi promo code ACTION2000 to get started!
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Milwaukee vs San Diego Prediction: Final Thoughts
Game 3 of this NLDS is the first-ever postseason meeting between these two clubs, and the best MLB player props today reflect just how evenly matched they've been all October.
Turang and Pivetta sit atop the board for good reason, each a steady number from a player performing a clearly defined role tonight, while the Tatis, Machado, and Chourio home run predictions today offer real leverage for traders chasing a bigger multiple.
For more on how these markets work, Action Network's prediction markets hub covers every other sport in season right now.
Milwaukee vs San Diego Prediction FAQs
Who wins the Milwaukee vs San Diego prediction for Game 3? The Kalshi board favors San Diego at 57% to win outright on the moneyline tonight.
What are the best MLB player props today for this game? Our top plays lean on Brice Turang's hits floor, Nick Pivetta's strikeout number, and the full home run board covering Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado, and Jackson Chourio.
What are the best home run bets today for Milwaukee vs San Diego? Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado sit at the top of the home run predictions today for San Diego, while Jackson Chourio is the top power threat on Milwaukee's side.
How do I use the Kalshi promo code for this game? Create an account, make a qualifying deposit, and enter the current Kalshi promo code to unlock a trading bonus before first pitch.
How do Kalshi home run and prop contracts work? Each contract resolves Yes if the stated outcome happens in that specific game, and No if it doesn't. Shares bought at a given price pay out $1 each if the contract resolves in your favor, and nothing if it doesn't.
When does tonight's Milwaukee vs San Diego market resolve? Each contract resolves once Game 3 is final, based on official MLB box score data for this matchup.
Are there more MLB prediction markets to trade for this series? Yes. Beyond this board, Kalshi has moneyline, total, and additional prop markets live for every remaining game of this NLDS, plus markets across other sports, so these MLB odds are just one slice of what's tradeable right now.
