Week 5 of college football hands you a slate loaded with five ranked matchups to make college football best bets on. My college football predictions come straight from live Kalshi prediction markets, where every contract price reflects real money and real opinions on how these games play out.
Before you place a single trade, register with the Kalshi promo code ACTION2000 and unlock a new user offer worth up to $2,000 in bonus trading credit. I break down all five marquee games below, price the exact contracts I like, and show you exactly how to claim your new user bonus to fund your own college football best bets.
College Football Best Bets: Week 5 Slate Today
Five ranked teams hit the road today, and three of them face a genuine threat of an upset. Here is the lineup of games I made college football best bets on below:
- No. 7 Alabama vs. No. 16 Mississippi State, 12 p.m. ET, ABC
- No. 3 Notre Dame vs. North Carolina, 12 p.m. ET, ESPN
- No. 5 Ohio State vs. No. 14 Iowa, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS
- No. 8 Florida vs. No. 25 Missouri, 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC
- No. 4 Miami vs. Clemson, 7:30 p.m. ET, ABC
My College Football Best Bets
I pull all the college football odds below from Kalshi, so you see the exact cost of each contract right now. The table below lays out the college football best bets I like most heading into this loaded slate:
| Matchup | My Pick | Kalshi Price | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama vs. Mississippi State | Alabama wins by 6.5 points or more NO | 50¢ | 50% |
| Notre Dame vs. North Carolina | Notre Dame wins by 21.5 points or more YES | 52¢ | 52% |
| Ohio State vs. Iowa | Ohio State wins YES | 85¢ | 85% |
| Florida vs. Missouri | Florida wins YES | 67¢ | 67% |
| Miami vs. Clemson | Miami wins by 16.5 points or more NO | 52¢ | 52% |
Here is how each of these college football best bets break down, game by game, and why I suggest you make Kalshi predictions on them this afternoon.
Alabama vs. Mississippi State prediction
Kamario Taylor throws touchdowns at a rate few quarterbacks in the country match, and he faces an Alabama secondary that gives up chunk plays. Kalshi's market prices the spread at a coin flip. I take Mississippi State to cover.
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina prediction
The Fighting Irish travel to Chapel Hill as a massive favorite, and the market agrees. Kalshi prices Notre Dame's spread contract at 52¢, returning close to $1.92 for every dollar you put down if the number holds. I side with the Irish to cover comfortably.
Ohio State vs. Iowa prediction
Jeremiah Smith keeps torching secondaries, and Iowa's offense still struggles to generate explosive plays. Kalshi prices Ohio State to win at 85¢ heading into Saturday. I back the Buckeyes to win outright and build from there.
Florida vs. Missouri prediction
Jon Sumrall has Florida playing its best football since the Tebow era, and the Gators control tempo against a Missouri defense that leaks rushing yards. Kalshi prices Florida's moneyline at 67¢. I lean on the Gators to leave Columbia unbeaten.
Miami vs. Clemson prediction
Darian Mensah completes nearly nine of every ten passes, but Clemson still rosters enough talent to keep this one within reach. Kalshi prices Clemson at 52¢ to cover 16.5, with the under 46.5 points market priced at 48¢. I grab the points with the Tigers.
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Kalshi operates as a CFTC regulated exchange, so you trade contracts on prediction markets directly against other users rather than against the house. Make your account now and trade your most confident college football best bets with bonus funds provided by Kalshi.
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