Saturday's college football predictions will be intriguing, with plenty of ranked matchups, starting with No. 1 Texas visiting No. 14 Tennessee and continuing through a primetime slate featuring Texas A&M vs. LSU and Oregon vs. USC. Below are five of the day's most interesting games, with picks spanning spreads and moneylines.
The odds board also gives prediction market traders plenty to work with. Kalshi currently makes Texas, Georgia, Florida, LSU, and Oregon favorites in their respective winner markets, but several traditional spreads are tight enough to create angles beyond simply backing the favorite outright.
These college football predictions focus on where the matchup and current numbers create the most appealing position. You can also compare the card with Action Network's latest college football picks and predictions or its broader Week 4 college football predictions before Saturday's games begin.
New users who want to trade the slate can claim the Kalshi promo code ACTION2000. Complete $25 in qualifying trades and Kalshi awards a promotional bonus worth anywhere from $10 to $2,000.
Best College Football Predictions for Week 4 Today
Here are my five college football predictions for Saturday's featured games. The Kalshi column shows the current outright winner price for each side we're backing or discussing, while the prediction itself can target a spread or moneyline where I prefer that market.
| Game | Prediction | Kalshi Winner Prices |
|---|---|---|
| No. 1 Texas vs. No. 14 Tennessee | Tennessee +4.5 | Texas ~64¢ / Tennessee ~36¢ |
| Oklahoma vs. No. 2 Georgia | Oklahoma +14 | Georgia ~83¢ / Oklahoma ~17¢ |
| No. 4 Ole Miss vs. No. 21 Florida | Florida -3.5 | Florida ~58¢ / Ole Miss ~42¢ |
| No. 23 Texas A&M vs. No. 10 LSU | LSU -8.5 | LSU ~75¢ / Texas A&M ~25¢ |
| No. 20 Oregon vs. No. 12 USC | Oregon to win | Oregon ~60¢ / USC ~40¢ |
Texas vs. Tennessee Prediction
- Pick: Tennessee +4.5
Texas owns the stronger résumé after beating Ohio State, but this is its first true road game of the season. Tennessee has rushed for 896 yards at 6.74 yards per carry and gets more than a field goal at Neyland Stadium.
Kalshi still gives Texas the clear outright edge at roughly 64¢, with Tennessee around 36¢. I am more interested in the spread than asking the Volunteers to win outright.
Tennessee does not need to pull the upset for this position to cash, and +4.5 gives enough protection in what should be one of Saturday's tighter-ranked matchups.
Oklahoma vs. Georgia Prediction
- Pick: Oklahoma +14
Georgia is the clear favorite, including an 83¢ Kalshi winner price compared with about 17¢ for Oklahoma. The question is whether the Bulldogs should also be laying two full touchdowns.
The total sits around 44.5, which leaves less room for Georgia to create separation if Oklahoma can slow the game down. The line has also moved from Georgia -10 to roughly -14.
I am not calling for an Oklahoma upset. I just prefer taking the points with Oklahoma +14 in a game expected to be relatively low scoring.
Ole Miss vs. Florida Prediction
- Pick: Florida -3.5
This is one of the closer outright markets on the card. Kalshi has Florida around 58¢ to win and Ole Miss near 42¢, while the traditional spread makes the Gators a 3.5-point home favorite.
Florida's defense is the difference for me. The Gators have generated pressure and havoc through three weeks and get Ole Miss in the Swamp after the Rebels' emotional win over LSU.
Action's Ole Miss vs. Florida prediction coverage has also centered on the unusual market positioning with Florida favored over the higher-ranked Rebels.
At less than four points, Florida -3.5 is the side I prefer.
Texas A&M vs. LSU Prediction
- Pick: LSU -8.5
Kalshi has the largest favorite of these final three games in Baton Rouge, pricing LSU around 75¢ to win compared with 25¢ for Texas A&M.
Both teams are trying to rebound from Week 3 losses, but LSU gets the better bounce-back spot at Tiger Stadium. Texas A&M just allowed Kentucky to score 21 unanswered third-quarter points, while Marcel Reed threw two interceptions in the 31-21 loss.
The number has climbed well beyond the opening line, but LSU still has the stronger offense and home-field advantage. I will still back LSU -8.5.
Oregon vs. USC Prediction
- Pick: Oregon to win
Oregon-USC is the game where I would rather remove the spread.
Kalshi has Oregon around 60¢ to win and USC around 40¢, which fits a matchup where the Ducks are favored but far from overwhelming.
USC is 4-0 and has scored at least 39 points in every game, so laying a field goal on the road adds risk I do not need. Oregon has the more balanced profile, while Dante Moore enters with nine touchdown passes and no interceptions.
Take Oregon to win outright rather than asking the Ducks to cover.
Kalshi Promo Code ACTION2000 Details
The Kalshi promo code ACTION2000 gives eligible new users a chance to earn up to $2,000 in promotional trading credit after completing $25 in qualifying trades.
| Detail | Kalshi ACTION2000 Offer |
|---|---|
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| Qualifying Requirement | $25 in completed event-contract trades |
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| Minimum Deposit | $10 |
| Possible Bonus | $10, $25, $50, $100 or $2,000 |
| Bonus Type | Trading credit |
| Bonus Expiration | 7 days after issuance |
| Age Requirement | 18+ |
| Restricted States | AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, WA |
| Sign-Up Link | ACTION2000 |
The $2,000 figure is the maximum award rather than a guaranteed bonus. Once you complete $25 in qualifying trades, Kalshi randomly awards $10, $25, $50, $100 or $2,000 in trading credit.
You can reach the $25 requirement with one trade or several smaller positions. That makes a five-game college football card useful if you would rather spread your qualifying volume across multiple markets instead of putting everything into one result.
How to Claim the Kalshi Promo Code ACTION2000
- Click the Kalshi promo code ACTION2000 to open Kalshi with the promotion attached.
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The trades do not need to win to count toward the $25 requirement. Orders must execute before they count toward qualifying trading volume. New users can learn more about the platform through our Kalshi review, while the college football prediction market promos page covers other available offers for Saturday.
College Football Predictions for Week 4: Conclusion
My Week 4 college football predictions start with two underdogs against the spread, Tennessee +4.5 and Oklahoma +14, before moving to Florida -3.5 and LSU -8.5 as home favorites.
Oregon-USC is the one game where I prefer stripping away the spread entirely. Kalshi currently gives Oregon roughly a 60% market price to win, and I would rather back the Ducks outright than ask them to clear a field goal against USC's offense.
New users can also claim the Kalshi promo code ACTION2000 and complete $25 in qualifying trades for a chance to receive up to $2,000 in trading credit.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.
