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2022 Super Bowl Props & Odds: Will The First Play of Game Be a Run or Pass?

2022 Super Bowl Props & Odds: Will The First Play of Game Be a Run or Pass? article feature image
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Rich Schultz/Getty Images. Pictured: Matthew Stafford

The Super Bowl is the single-most wagered on event in the world for one good reason — the props.

The length of the national anthem. What color Gatorade gets poured on the winning coach. Even the damn coin flip. Betting on those is an unmatched tradition.

But give the game props some love, too. There are plenty of those to go around that you normally wouldn’t see on a major American sportsbook — or that you wouldn’t normally wager on.

This includes longshot bets like “Will there be a Fat Man TD?”, “Will there be a 2-point conversion?” or even “Will there be an Octopus?”.

These are bets that may not have the most positive long-term expected value but improve the viewing experience when you’re with friends and family.

Another one of those bets is whether the first play of the game is going to be a run or a pass.

Super Bowl First Play: Run or Pass?

Odds are as of Tuesday and are according to DraftKings.

  • Run: -145
  • Pass: +115

Betting odds of -145 imply a probability of 59.2%. That’s the break-even point — if you believe that there’s better than a 59.2% chance that a run will be the first play of the Super Bowl, then this bet offers value.

On the flip side, odds of +115 imply a probability of about 46.5%.

A bet of $100 on “run” would net you a profit of $68.96. A $100 wager on “pass” nets $115.

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