2025 Super Bowl Odds: Free Agency Altering Odds

2025 Super Bowl Odds: Free Agency Altering Odds article feature image
Credit:

Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images Pictured: New Atlanta Falcons quarterback Kirk Cousins

The NFL’s legal tampering period kicked off Monday with a bevy of major moves and significant roster shakeups. As a result, we saw the most movement in the Super Bowl futures market since lines opened.

The Philadelphia Eagles and Atlanta Falcons had the most improved odds after the first day, while the Minnesota Vikings tumbled mightily.

The Eagles were +2000 before the legal tampering period began, but moved up to +1700 thanks largely to landing running back Saquon Barkley. The former Giant agreed to terms on a three-year, $37.75-million dollar deal to join his former NFC East foe. Barkley replaces D’Andre Swift, who landed a three-year deal of his own to join the Chicago Bears. Philadelphia also bolstered the defensive side of the ball, adding former Jets edge rusher Bryce Huff, who had 10 sacks a season ago. Huff was ESPN's second-highest ranked edge rusher available on the market.

Meanwhile, a Falcons team that desperately needed a quarterback got their man as they agreed to a four-year, $180-million dollar deal with Kirk Cousins. Atlanta has several exciting young playmakers in running back Bijan Robinson, tight end Kyle Pitts and wide receiver Drake London, and the consensus among experts has been that the Falcons were a quarterback away from becoming a playoff-caliber team.

Atlanta's odds were as high as +5000 after the Super Bowl, but had improved to +3500 in recent days with the expectation they'd upgrade at quarterback.  Those odds moved to +2500 after Atlanta landed Cousins and NFL analyst Brandon Anderson provided a more detailed breakdown on how Cousins changes things for the Falcons going forward.

Not surprisingly, Cousins’ defection caused the Vikings' odds to drop like a stone. They went from +6000 to +7500 as Nick Mullens and Jaren Hall are the only quarterbacks currently on the roster.

Here’s the latest look at Super Bowl odds for all 32 teams, followed by a breakdown of some other notable transactions.

2025 Super Bowl Odds

TeamSuper Bowl Odds
49ers+550
Chiefs+600
Ravens+900
Bills+1000
Lions+1200
Bengals+1300
Cowboys+1600
Eagles+1700
Dolphins+1800
Packers+2000
Jets+2500
Texans+2500
Falcons+2500
Chargers+2800
Rams+3500
Bears+3500
Jaguars+4000
Browns+4000
Colts+6000
Seahawks+6500
Buccaneers+7000
Steelers+7000
Vikings+7500
Saints+8000
Commanders+10000
Cardinals+10000
Giants+10000
Raiders+10000
Broncos+12000
Titans+15000
Patriots+15000
Panthers+25000

Odds according to DraftKings as of Mar. 11.

(North Carolina sports betting is live! As of March 11, North Carolina residents can bet at NC legal sportsbooks. Learn about the best North Carolina sports betting apps to place those bets.)

More Notable Additions

Green Bay Packers – Green Bay handed out a four-year, $48-million dollar deal to former rushing champion Josh Jacobs. The Packers' running back corps could look entirely different as the team released Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon is a free agent. Additionally, Green Bay won the Xavier McKinney sweepstakes. The former Giant was considered the top safety on the market.

New York Giants – The Giants made their biggest splash via trade, acquiring stud pass rusher Brian Burns from the Panthers for a second-round pick in this year's draft and a fifth-rounder in 2025. Carolina franchise tagged Burns earlier in the week, but it was clear a long-term deal wasn't in the offering. The Giants immediately agreed to a five-year, $150-million dollar deal with Burns, who'll join Kayvon Thibodeaux and Dexter Lawrence as part of a dangerous defensive line.

Pittsburgh Steelers – Pittsburgh made an early splash, agreeing to a one-year deal with Russell Wilson. Wilson's $39-million salary for this coming season is already guaranteed by the Broncos, which allowed him to sign a team-friendly deal with the Steelers. He'll compete with Kenny Pickett for the starting nod.

Tennessee Titans – Derrick Henry's reign in Tennessee is likely over as the Titans agreed to terms with former Cowboys running back Tony Pollard. He joins second-year running back Tyjae Spears in a new era in Tennessee under head coach Brian Callahan.

Las Vegas Raiders – New general manager Tom Telesco made a splash on each side of the ball.  The Raiders agreed to terms with one of the most coveted defensive players in defensive tackle Christian Wilkins, who ESPN ranked as the second-best free agent in this year's class. He'll pair with Maxx Crosby to form one of the most dynamic pairings in the NFL. Las Vegas also added quarterback Gardner Minshew on a two-year deal. He'll battle Aidan O'Connell for the starting job.

Baltimore Ravens – The Ravens were in the market for a running back and they were able to land one of the top weapons on the market. The Ravens signed four-time Pro Bowler Derrick Henry to a two-year, $36 million deal. The combination of Lamar Jackson and Henry could be lethal.

Phone With the Action App Open
The must-have app for NFL bettors
The best NFL betting scoreboard
Free picks from proven pros
Live win probabilities for your bets

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.