Antonio Gibson Player Prop: Expert Pick for Vikings vs Commanders
Photo by Scott Taetsch/Getty Images. Pictured: Antonio Gibson.
Antonio Gibson Receiving Yards
|Prop||Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (-114)|
|Matchup||Vikings vs. Commanders|
|Day, Time||Sunday, 1 p.m. ET|
It looks like head coach Ron Rivera is finally utilizing Antonio Gibson’s dynamic skillset the correct way, as he’s always been a natural pass-catching back going back to his Memphis days. In Week 7, Gibson ran just 37% of snaps but was targeted seven times and ran for 58 yards. Pro Football Focus ranked Gibson second right underneath Christian McCaffrey in their receiving grading metric.
Despite the small two-game sample size, Taylor Heineke has thrown 20 of his 64 pass attempts (31.3 target percentage) to his running backs this season. Compare that to Wentz’s fourth-ranked 25.2 target percentage, and this is a good sign that there is still involvement.
The Vikings currently allow the seventh-most receiving yards against running backs and just lost defensive tackle Dalvin Tomlinson last week. Opposing teams are also throwing the ball at an average of 35.9 times, which ranks seventh-most in the league.
Perhaps the biggest news is that the Commanders ruled out J.D. McKissic (neck) for Week 9. He is the team’s designated third-down and pass-catching running back specialist and leads his committee by ranking first in target percentage with 5.0 targets per game.
In his absence, those targets will be spread elsewhere, creating additional opportunities for Gibson’s involvement in the passing game and on third-down situations. Pair that with the game environment, and I love for Gibson to go over his receiving props this week.