Bears vs Vikings Same Game Parlay: +913 SGP for Monday Night Football
Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images. Pictured: DJ Moore.
The race for the NFC North got much tighter with the Lions losing on Thanksgiving to the Packers. Minnesota is one of the hottest teams in the NFL, winning five of its last six, with control over its own destiny.
While Minnesota has gotten hot, Chicago played one of its best games of the year, albeit in a losing effort. The Bears led by two scores until three minutes left in the fourth quarter against the Lions, one of the best NFC teams. We will see if they can continue to build on that success on Monday Night Football.
With team backgrounds out of the way let’s dive into my Bears vs Vikings Same Game Parlay for Monday Night Football.
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Bears vs Vikings Same Game Parlay (+913 on FanDuel):
- Vikings -1.5 1st Half (-120)
- DJ Moore Over 4.5 Receptions (-188)
- Ty Chandler Over 30.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
- T.J. Hockenson Anytime TD (+160)
Minnesota is a perfect 5-0 against the spread in its last five games. Starting strong is important for the Vikings because they have the highest blitz rate in the NFL, according to Pro-Football-Reference.
Blitzing is valuable when teams are looking to pass — however, if teams look to run, the defense can be gashed. Starting fast has been key for the Vikings during their hot run. At home, in a divisional matchup, Minnesota will look to keep that trend going.
If we have the Vikings leading at half, the Bears will have a negative game script and be forced to throw. This will create plenty of opportunity for Justin Fields’ favorite target.
In the last four games Fields has started, Moore has averaged nine targets per game and seven catches. In none of those games did Moore have fewer than five catches. With our Minnesota prop set to have Chicago playing from behind, the Bears will be throwing and Fields will be feeding his top option.
The Vikings passed the running back reins over to Alexander Mattison this season and the results have been underwhelming. Mattison has averaged 3.7 yards per carry and ranks 52nd of 58 eligible running backs, according to PFF’s grading.
Chandler, in limited usage, has averaged 4.8 yards per carry and has earned a PFF grade of 71.7. That grade would rank 22nd if he had the requisite snaps to qualify.
Since getting a regular role in the offense two weeks ago, Chandler has crushed this number, gaining 45 yards and then 73 yards. Following our script, the Vikings will be leading and have the opportunity to run. This will just be another chance for Chandler to show what he is capable of.
The Bears defense is a fascinating case study. They have allowed the sixth-fewest rushing touchdowns but rank last in red-zone efficiency. You would think a team that prevents rushing touchdowns would be stronger in the red zone, but that is not the case.
Instead, once teams get in scoring position, Chicago usually gives up touchdowns through the air. This sets up perfectly for the Vikings' big tight end, as he will be the top option off of play-action in goal-line formation.
The Bears' overcommitment to stopping the run will leave someone one-on-one with Hockenson, and that will be an easy choice for Joshua Dobbs when he is surveying the field.
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