Colts vs Browns Spread, Odds: Week 7 Pick, Prediction
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Colts vs Browns Odds
| Colts Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -115 | 39.5 -110o / -110u | +155 |
| Browns Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -105 | 39.5 -110o / -110u | -175 |
Colts vs. Browns odds have been on the move all week, going from Cleveland -2 to -3.5 on Sunday morning. The total has been moving down all week and is at 39.5 with kickoff on the horizon.
After a major upset of the 49ers, the Browns are looking to keep the momentum going in Indianapolis. A demoralized Colts team that is without rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson for the rest of the season is in their way. The Colts, now led by Gardner Minshew, are coming off a blowout loss, but if the Browns aren’t careful, they could face the same fate as the 49ers.
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Throughout the first two months of the season, the Browns have had the luxury of leaning on their defense. They rank first in both yards allowed per drive and points allowed per drive. Their defense has shown no flaws either as they are top four against both the run and the pass.
The only complaint you can cast on them is an inability to create turnovers — the Browns are 30th in turnovers forced with just four. The good news is there will be an opportunity to normalize that number this week, but more on that shortly.
As for Cleveland's offense, it owes a big thanks to the defense for carrying the team to a record north of .500. The Browns have been forced to start a backup quarterback the last two weeks. But even when Deshaun Watson plays, things have not gone well. Watson ranks 24th in yards per attempt and his turnovers cost Cleveland a win against Pittsburgh.
On the ground, the Browns have struggled to find consistency since they lost Nick Chubb. Jerome Ford has flashed occasionally, like when he gained 40 yards on the Browns' drive to take the lead against San Francisco.
Despite moments like that, the combination of Kareem Hunt and Ford has averaged just 3.84 yards per carry. Cleveland finding a stable run game will take pressure off the passing attack and mitigate the turnovers.
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Turning to the Colts, their performance will largely be determined by Gardener Minshew’s performance.
Minshew has started two games this season. In the first, he filled the role of backup perfectly and pulled off the upset against Baltimore. In the second, he had four turnovers and the Colts endured 17-point loss to a divisional foe.
The Colts need Minshew to reduce his turnover-worthy play percentage, which is seventh highest, per PFF, if they hope to be a dark horse playoff team.
Indy has been respectable defensively, but the offense continues to put them in bad positions.
The Colts offense has the fifth-lowest average time per drive, which puts the defense on the field for extra possessions and wears them down. Because of this, the Colts rank 11th in percentage of scoring drives allowed and 10th in yards per drive allowed, but 23rd in points allowed per drive.
Colts vs. Browns
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The Colts have been one of the surprise teams this year at 3-3. However, the biggest surprise for the team has been how well the offense has played. They are 11th in points per game and 10th in yards per game. The problem is they are bringing a backup quarterback into a buzzsaw.
If Cleveland learned anything from last week, it's that the defense only needs around 20 points and decent ball security from the offense to win. Against a weaker offensive opponent like the Colts, that should mean a more conservative style and leaning on the ground game.
With the Browns playing conservatively and the Colts' offense being outmatched, a low-scoring game is in store.
Per our Pro Report, the bet counts and money all agree on the under — 84% of the bets placed are on the under and 97% of the money is on the under.
Let’s all ride together and hope for a low scoring eyesore of a game.
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