We kick off the Week 11 Sunday slate with an early morning battle between the Washington Commanders and Miami Dolphins at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid, Spain. The NFL Madrid Game will broadcast live on NFL Network at 9:30 a.m. ET.
Continue below for my Dolphins vs Commanders parlay picks for Sunday, November 16, which includes the moneyline and a Jacory Croskey-Merritt prop.
Dolphins vs Commanders Parlay
- Dolphins Moneyline
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt Over 26.5 Rush Yards
Parlay Odds: +246 (DraftKings)
Dolphins vs Commanders Odds
| Commanders Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -105 | 47.5 -112o / -108u | +130 |
| Dolphins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -115 | 47.5 -112o / -108u | -155 |
- Dolphins vs Commanders Moneyline: Dolphins -155, Commanders +130
- Dolphins vs Commanders Over/Under: 47.5 (-112o / -108u)
- Dolphins vs Commanders Spread: Dolphins -2.5 (-115), Commanders +2.5 (-105)
Dolphins vs Commanders Preview, Parlay Picks
Dolphins Moneyline
We’ll see a pair of 3–7 teams in action on Sunday morning.
Both squads have had their share of struggles this season, but I’m backing the team in better form right now.
The Dolphins are coming off a stunning upset over the Bills last weekend and carry real momentum into this matchup.
Washington, meanwhile, continues to deal with key injuries and will have a hard time keeping pace offensively. The Commanders have dropped five games in a row and their defense has cratered, surrendered at least 25 points during their losing streak.
According to our Evan Abrams (via his Week 11 betting primer), favorites have excelled in NFL international games — they are 40-14-1 straight up. He also notes Marcus Mariota has lost seven straight games outright when listed as an underdog, which the Commanders are in this spot.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt Over 26.5 Rush Yards (-110)
We’ll team up with our Action Pro Report for this prop.
Croskey-Merritt has remained Washington’s top backfield option, leading the team with 105 carries and 470 rushing yards. While Washington has expanded Chris Rodriguez’s role, I still expect Croskey-Merritt to see solid volume in this matchup.
The former Arizona Wildcat has logged 10+ rushing attempts in five of his six games since taking over as the team’s starter, and that workload should hold steady here.
Our Action Pro Report projects 40 rushing yards, giving us a clear edge on this number.
Editor's Note: This line has since moved to 27.5.
Dolphins vs Commanders Parlay
- Dolphins Moneyline
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt Over 26.5 Rush Yards
Parlay Odds: +246 (DraftKings)
