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Expert Edges On First TD Scorer Odds: Mike Evans and Dawson Knox Offer Small Value In Rams-Bucs, Bills-Chiefs

Expert Edges On First TD Scorer Odds: Mike Evans and Dawson Knox Offer Small Value In Rams-Bucs, Bills-Chiefs article feature image
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Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images. Pictured: Bills TE Dawson Knox

  • Betting on first touchdown scorer props for Rams-Bucs or Bills-Chiefs on Divisional Round Sunday of the NFL playoffs?
  • Projections from our Director of Predictive Analytics reveal small potential edges on Mike Evans and Dawson Knox.
  • Of course, first TD scorer bets are longshots, so proceed with the high-risk nature of these props in mind.

It wouldn’t be the NFL playoffs without sweating first touchdown scorer props.

To help you find an edge on them for Sunday’s Divisional Round games — Rams-Bucs and Bills-Chiefs — I projected my “true” odds for first and anytime touchdown scorers, then outlined them next to the odds at DraftKings as of writing so you can quickly identify potential betting edges.

I also created this downloadable spreadsheet so you can input odds from any book to calculate edges accordingly.

Note: Sean Koerner’s projections are in the columns labeled “Koerner.”


Rams-Bucs TD Projections


Bills-Chiefs TD Projections



NFL Playoff TD Prop Calculator

You can calculate edges for odds available at your book(s) by downloading this spreadsheet then adjusting the odds in the columns labeled “Add Odds Here.” The edges will automatically calculate in the columns directly to the right of where you input the odds.

» Download the spreadsheet now


What Are NFL Player Prop Bets?

Bets on a player’s statistics or various outcomes can be considered a player prop. Betting on the over or under on a quarterback’s passing yards, over or under on a wide receiver’s number of receptions, and whether a running back will score a touchdown are all considered player props.

To learn more about the various types of props you can bet on, check out our Betting 101 series.

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