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Colts vs Steelers Prediction, Odds, Picks: NFL Week 9 Preview

Colts vs Steelers Prediction, Odds, Picks: NFL Week 9 Preview article feature image
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Action Network/Imagn Images: Daniel Jones, Aaron Rodgers

Starting soon
Odds Updating Soon
Matchup - 11/02 6:00pm UTCSpreadTotalMoneyline
-3-115
o51.5-110
-169
+3-105
u51.5-110
+142

The Indianapolis Colts (7-1) and Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3) will face off in Week 9 of the NFL season on Sunday afternoon. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The game will broadcast live on CBS.

The Colts are 3.5-point favorites over the Steelers on the spread (Colts -3.5), with the game total is set at 51.5 total points. Indianapolis is a -170 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Pittsburgh is +145 to pull off the upset.

Let's get into my Colts vs Steelers predictions and my NFL picks for Sunday, November 2.


Colts vs Steelers Prediction, Picks

  • Colts vs Steelers pick: Steelers +3.5 (-115)

My Steelers vs. Colts best bet is on Pittsburgh to cover the spread, with the best price currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.


Colts vs Steelers Odds for NFL Week 9

Colts Logo
Sunday, Nov. 2
1 p.m. ET
CBS
Steelers Logo
Colts Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-3.5
-105
51.5
-110o / -110u
-170
Steelers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+3.5
-115
51.5
-110o / -110u
+145
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
bet365 Logo


Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Preview

The Colts are an offensive juggernaut. Daniel Jones, Jonathan Taylor, and the offensive line have been near perfect this season.

However, the price here is just too expensive.

The Steelers might not be flashy, but they match up well against Indianapolis structurally.

The Steelers utilize multiple tight ends on over 50% of their snaps — the Colts are the second-worst team in the league at defending tight ends.

Add in some injuries to Colts corners on the outside, and Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers passing attack should have plenty of opportunities.

The Colts have been living indoors this season as seven of their eight games have been in a dome, either at Lucas Oil Stadium or SoFi Stadium. This is basically their first true outdoor test of the season.

That, combined with the Steelers' ability to run the ball to methodically move the chains, should provide them with a path to stay in the game. They can keep the Colts offense on the sidelines, exploit matchup advantages and even lean on special teams for an edge.

Also, as good as the Colts have been, they haven't had the toughest schedule.

The Colts have faced the Titans twice, the Dolphins, the Raiders, the Cardinals (which was a shootout at home) — I think the Steelers can keep up.


Colts vs Steelers Betting Predictions, Analysis

This game sets up as a classic Mike Tomlin spot.

Tomlin has been historically profitable as an underdog of 3+ points – covering the spread more than 65% of the time, and often by significant margins.

Even against winning teams at home, Tomlin has been nearly unbeatable in this type of situation.

The Colts are going to score points in this game — there’s no doubt about that. However, this line is inflated.

The Colts defense is shaky. Meanwhile, the Steelers have the right matchup, injuries to exploit and situational history to suggest they can keep this game close.

Getting the Steelers at +3.5 feels like a gift here.

Colts vs Steelers Best Bet

  • Steelers +3.5 (-115)
Playbook

Colts vs Steelers Betting Trends


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Author Profile
About the Author

Stuckey is a senior betting analyst at Action Network, focusing on college football, college basketball, and the NFL. He hosts The Action Network Podcast and co-hosts the Big Bets on Campus podcast with Collin Wilson and Brett McMurphy. Stuckey was Action Network’s first content hire in 2017, helping launch their award-winning app, and continues to work closely with their development team. A CFA Charterholder, Stuckey has been betting since 2003 and has a background as a derivatives analyst in the financial industry. He holds an MBA from George Washington University.

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