Jets vs Chargers Odds | Monday Night Football Pick, Prediction

Jets vs Chargers Odds | Monday Night Football Pick, Prediction article feature image
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Getty Images. Pictured: Justin Herbert (left) and Zach Wilson.

Jets vs Chargers Odds | Monday Night Football Pick, Prediction

Monday, Nov. 6
8:15 p.m. ET
ESPN | ABC
Jets Odds
SpreadOver/UnderMoneyline
+3
-105
41
-110o / -110u
+145
Chargers Odds
SpreadOver/UnderMoneyline
-3
-115
41
-110o / -110u
-165
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

Here's everything you need to know about Jets vs Chargers Odds and our Monday Night Football Pick, Prediction.

Jets vs Chargers odds have Los Angeles as a 3-point favorite on the spread with a game total of 41.

The Jets are looking for their fourth win in a row. They face a Chargers team that's coming off a rare convincing win — another one and they'll be back at .500. The Chargers will be shorthanded, however, as wide receiver Joshua Palmer was placed on injured reserve with a knee injury. Justin Herbert will need rookie Quentin Johnston to step up against an extremely tough Jets defense.

As for Herbert's counterpart, Zach Wilson, he'll be looking to keep up his surprising run of competent play. The Jets have won three games with Wilson at quarterback, and each one has required a fourth-quarter rally. The embattled quarterback leads the NFL in fourth-quarter comebacks this season.

Continue reading below for our Monday Night Football betting preview, which explains why a primetime under should be your Jets vs Chargers pick.

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Chargers vs. Jets

Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Chargers and Jets match up statistically:

Chargers vs. Jets DVOA Breakdown (via FTN Fantasy)
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA86
Pass DVOA66
Rush DVOA2218
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA2927
Pass DVOA2726
Rush DVOA2420

Despite a 30-point effort last week — their most since Week 1 — the Chargers offense is far from peak form. With Joshua Palmer (knee) joining Mike Williams (IR-ACL) on the sideline, Justin Herbert is down his top two perimeter wide receivers.

Palmer and Williams combined to account for 32.3% of Los Angeles' receiving yardage, production that will be missed against a Jets defense that ranks sixth in DVOA against the pass and features perhaps the top cornerback tandem in the game with Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed.

Rookie first-round pick Quentin Johnston has given the Chargers next to nothing through his first seven games, catching 12 passes for 114 scoreless yards. The lack of perimeter threats will allow the Jets to devote all of their attention to slowing down Keenan Allen and Austin Ekeler.

A banged-up receiving corps would be easier to navigate with the support of a running game, but Ekeler has 101 yards on 43 carries (2.3 YPC) in three games since returning from an ankle injury.

Ekeler is averaging a career-low 20.4 yards after contact this season, but the run blocking is doing him no favors as the Chargers rank 29th in PFF run-blocking grade (50.3) and 29th in adjusted line yards (3.63).


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Defensively, the Chargers are trending up. After allowing 29.0 points per game and 450.7 total yards per game in their first three games, they've allowed 20.3 points and 346.0 yards over their last four.

They've been excellent against the run over that span, allowing just 319 yards on 89 carries (3.6 YPC), with a 23-yard Patrick Mahomes scramble as their only rush surrendered of 20-plus yards. Limiting explosive plays will go a long way toward shutting down Breece Hall, who has runs of 83, 72, 43 and 26 yards but averages just 3.0 yards per carry on his other 74 totes.

Zach Wilson has done well to limit turnovers, throwing just one interception in his last five starts after tossing four picks in his first two starts, but it hasn't translated into increased efficiency — the Jets rank 29th in offensive DVOA and 27th in passing DVOA.

The Jets are 30th in total yards per game (273.3) and have cracked 300 yards of total offense just twice all season.

Chargers vs. Jets

Betting Picks & Predictions

Both defenses should have the edge, so this sets up as yet another spot to attack a primetime under.

Per our Action Labs data, Primetime unders down at least a point are 80-47 (63%) since 2016. In non-divisional games, that mark improves to 53-23 (70%), covering by 3.8 points per game.

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