The New Orleans Saints (2-9) and Miami Dolphins (4-7) meet in NFL Week 13 on Sunday, Nov. 30. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla. The game will broadcast live on FOX.
The Dolphins are 5.5-point favorites over the Saints on the spread (Dolphins -5.5), with the over/under set at 41.5 points. Miami is a -270 favorite to win outright, while New Orleans is +220 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Week 13 preview and Saints vs Dolphins prediction.
Saints vs Dolphins Prediction
- Saints vs Dolphins pick: Saints Moneyline (+220)
My Saints vs Dolphins best bet is the New Orleans moneyline. Find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Saints vs Dolphins Odds
| Saints Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+5.5 -110 | 41.5 -110o / -110u | +220 |
| Dolphins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-5.5 -110 | 41.5 -110o / -110u | -270 |
Saints vs Dolphins NFL Week 13 Preview
The Saints are frustrating — every time I think they can cover the spread, they completely disintegrate into dust, especially at the goal line.
Last week, they had several opportunities to either tie or defeat the Falcons, but the Saints came away with zero points in the red zone on a couple of their drives, and in the end, it resulted in an ugly loss.
The one thing the Dolphins have going for them is that they’ve been home for a while, aside from the one game where they were overseas.
However, they had the bye after the overseas game, and then they had two home games before that.
The Saints, on the other hand, have been traveling, plus they're an indoor team traveling to Miami in this spot. That could be a shock to New Orleans' system.
Saints vs Dolphins Prediction, Betting Analysis
There's just a lot of potential for variance here because the Dolphins simply aren't very good, and probably shouldn't be favored by this much over anybody.
The Dolphins beat Kirk Cousins and the Falcons with Drake London on a short leash. Then, they beat the Commanders by three and in a game they should have lost (Miami had 171 passing yards in an OT game). They won a head-scratcher over the Bills, then got blown out by the Ravens and the Browns.
The Saints are obviously bad too, but they've been getting a little bit unlucky lately.
This Miami offense still is not good. The Dolphins have no receivers except for Jaylen Waddle. De’Von Achane is doing everything for them on the ground, and the Saints have been better against the run than they have been against the pass.
In a game with two bad teams, the potential for variance is high and I like the value here with the Saints to win outright.
Pick: Saints Moneyline (+220)
Spread
I'm not betting either side of the spread in this game.
Moneyline
My Dolphins vs Saints betting prediction is on New Orleans to win outright on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I have no bet on the game total.
