Bengals vs. Jets Odds, NFL Picks, Predictions: Fade New York As A Double-Digit Dog This Sunday?
Jim McIsaac/Getty Images. Pictured: Robert Saleh.
- In search of Bengals vs. Jets odds? We've outlined the spread and over/under in our guide to betting Sunday's matchup below.
- With the Bengals coming off a massive win and the Jets starting a backup quarterback, which team has the edge to cover?
- Our analyst examines the odds and matchup before making his pick on the spread.
|Time||1 p.m. ET|
|Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.|
The upstart Bengals are tied for the best record in the AFC at 5-2 through seven games entering a Week 8 matchup against the one-win Jets.
While Cincinnati’s bye is Week 10, facing a New York squad that is missing multiple key players is almost like an extra week off.
Outside of an overtime win against a Titans team that was missing both A.J. Brown and Julio Jones, the Jets have been outscored 151-53 on the season.
Click the arrow to expand injury reports
Bengals vs. Jets Injury Report
- RB Chris Evans(hamstring): Out
- WR Auden Tate (thigh): Questionable
- QB Zach Wilson (PCL): Out
- RB Tevin Coleman (hamstring): Out
- TE Trevon Wesco (knee): Out
- DL Bryce Huff (back): Out
- WR Corey Davis (hip): Doubtful
- TE Tyler Kroft (back): Questionable
- S Ashtyn Davis (back): Questionable
- LB C.J. Mosley (hamstring): Questionable
- DE Shaq Lawson (wrist): Questionable
Bengals vs. Jets Matchup
|Bengals Offense||DVOA Rank||Jets Defense|
|Bengals Defense||DVOA Rank||Jets Offense|
|Football Outsiders’ DVOA measures efficiency by comparing a team’s success on every play to the league average based on situation and opponent.|
These Bengals Are For Real
The Bengals are probably the biggest surprise of the 2021 NFL season.
After winning only four games in all of 2020, Cincinnati exceeded that number in less than half of this season. The Bengals seem to get better each week, with a 41-17 victory over co-division leading Baltimore as their crowning achievement so far.
The offense is getting most of the attention, but they’ve been carried by their defense so far this season.
This defense is checking all the boxes, thriving against the pass and run while sitting in a tie for fifth with 19 sacks. When you hold Lamar Jackson and the Ravens to 17 points, a Mike White-led Jets team should be no problem.
But, as I mentioned, the Bengals offense is drawing all the headlines. Ja’Marr Chase has been dominant as a rookie. He’s +105 at BetMGM to win Offensive Rookie of the Year, with Mac Jones (+400) as his nearest competitor.
Joe Burrow has taken a sophomore leap, as well, with his adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) rising from 5.7 to 7.9 — top five in the NFL.
Cincinnati’s offensive line has performed beyond expectation, as well. PFF had it as the 26th-ranked unit heading into the season, but it enters Week 8 ranked eighth in adjusted line yards and 22nd in adjusted sack rate, per Football Outsiders.
What Is There To Say About the Jets?
They’ve been absolutely miserable with second-overall pick Zach Wilson disappointing through seven weeks.
Remember Burrow’s ANY/A form his rookie year of 5.7? Wilson’s is currently 3.42. Of course, he’s not even playing this week due to injury.
Last week in relief of Wilson, White did … fine by Jets standards, completing more than 60% of his passes for 200 yards. Picking up where Wilson left off, though, White added two interceptions and only one touchdown.
Now, with top receiver Corey Davis a surprise addition to the injury report and Tevin Coleman out again, the situation is even harder for White.
This Jets defense is almost as bad as the offense, although that side of the ball hasn’t had a fair chance, with the Jets offense producing more turnovers than any team outside of the Chiefs.
New York’s injury situation on defense is just as bad as it is on offense, with four players who average at least 45 snaps per game on the wrong side of questionable.
It’s not really a matter of if the Bengals offense will score points as much as it is how.
Bengals vs. Jets Picks
Three of the Jets’ five losses have came by double-digit points, and that was when they had their starting quarterback. Those losses were each to 3-4 teams, too: The Patriots (twice) and Broncos.
The Bengals, meanwhile, are quietly one of the best teams in the AFC, having beaten the Ravens by 24 points in Baltimore last week.
When you add to that the Jets’ mile-long injury report, this one is easy. The Bengals are the pick.
Pick: Bengals -10.5 | Bet to: -12.5
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