Eagles-Lions Odds, NFL Picks, Betting Preview, Predictions: Is There Value In Betting Lions To Cover?
Rey Del Rio/Getty Images. Pictured: Jared Goff.
- Looking for Eagles vs. Lions odds? We've outlined the over/under and spread in our betting preview of this matchup below.
- Detroit may be winless, but that doesn't mean the Lions lack betting value. Find out why our analyst is counting on them covering as home underdogs in Week 8.
Eagles vs. Lions Odds
|Time||1 p.m. ET|
Two teams desperate for a win meet at Ford Field on Sunday where the 2-5 Philadelphia Eagles will take on the winless Detroit Lions.
After their 32-6 opening week win at Atlanta, the Eagles’ only other win was a late comeback at Carolina in Week 5. Detroit has played tough every week for Dan Campbell, but has suffered multiple last-possession losses to arrive at their 0-7 record.
Can the Eagles gain some momentum with their third win of the season, or will Detroit finally get to enjoy a postgame victory celebration?
Click the arrow to expand injury reports
Eagles vs. Lions Injury Report
- RB Miles Sanders (ankle/joot): Out
- CB Zech McPhearson (hamstring): Out
- S Anthony Harris (thumbs/groin): Doubtful
- WR J.J. Arcega-Whiteside (back): Questionable
- RB D’Andre Swift (groin): Questionable
- RB Jamaal Williams (thigh): Questionable
- OLB Trey Flowers (knee): Questionable
- CB AJ Parker (neck): Questionable
- CB Jerry Jacobs (illness): Questionable
Eagles vs. Lions Matchup
|Eagles Offense||DVOA Rank||Lions Defense|
|Eagles Defense||DVOA Rank||Lions Offense|
|Football Outsiders’ DVOA measures efficiency by comparing a team’s success on every play to the league average based on situation and opponent.|
Struggling Eagles Rely on Rushing Attack
While Detroit enters this game winless, Philadelphia hasn’t been playing much better. The Eagles defense has gotten worse and currently ranks 29th in rush defense DVOA. They will need to stop a Lions offense that is built around two running backs: D’Andre Swift and Jamaal Williams.
Last week, Philadelphia allowed Las Vegas to rush for 119 yards at 4.1 yards per carry with leading rusher Josh Jacobs injured for most of the game. Backup running back Kenyan Drake rushed for 69 yards on just 14 carries (4.9 yards per carry).
Quarterback Jalen Hurts has produced a chasm of a difference between his fantasy football production and real-life production. Hurts ranks as the current overall QB3 in fantasy points per game but ranks just 31st among quarterbacks in true completion percentage. The majority of Hurts’ production is based on his rushing ability — he ranks second among all quarterbacks in rushing yards (361) and first in rushing touchdowns (five).
Detroit’s defense has actually been decent at limiting rushing yards by opposing quarterbacks. The Lions only rank 13th in ground yards allowed to opposing signal-callers, which includes facing efficient rushers such as Lamar Jackson and Justin Fields.
Philadelphia will also be without starting running back Miles Sanders, limiting the rushing game even further. The Eagles will try a three-headed rushing attack with veterans Boston Scott and Jordan Howard along with rookie Kenneth Gainwell.
The two main weapons for the Eagles passing attack are wide receiver DeVonta Smith and tight end Dallas Goedert. While both have big play ability, neither has received the volume needed from Hurts to make a significant impact on the game.
Lions Winless But Rallying
Despite poor metrics, the Lions have continued to compete hard for first-year head coach Dan Campbell. Detroit is 4-3 against the spread (ATS), including 2-1 at home.
Last week, Detroit covered an obscenely high 16.5-point spread, losing on the road to the Rams 28-19. The Lions offense was very productive, averaging 4.9 yards per carry and getting standout receiving performances from Kalif Raymond (six receptions, 115 receiving yards) and Swift (eight receptions, 96 yards, touchdown).
Quarterback Jared Goff has actually produce decent numbers, ranking 10th in quarterback passing yards (1,773). He has worked with limited receiving options but should be able to utilize tight end T.J. Hockenson against a weak Philadelphia pass defense. The Eagles have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends, including a league-leading six touchdowns.
The Lions offensive line has started to play much better, allowing only three sacks over the past two games. Philadelphia has also struggled to generate pass pressure, ranking third-worst with just 1.6 sacks per game.
Eagles vs. Lions Picks
I backed the Lions at home against Cincinnati two weeks ago and got burned. However, the Philadelphia offense cannot produced at the level of the Bengals, and have a much less efficient passing game.
The most likely path to an Eagles win centers around a big game from Jalen Hurts, and I’m fading that possibility. I love getting the hook on the 3.5-point spread, which is why I’m taking the Lions as the underdog.
It’s a coin-flip game, so I’ll take the more cohesive Lions team in a desperate spot to breakthrough for their first win.
I would really prefer to get this line at the 3.5, but would consider it at Detroit +3.
Pick: Lions +3.5 | Bet to: Lions +3
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