We have you covered with NFL player prop picks for the Conference Championships on Sunday.
Our staff has locked in prop bets for both of Sunday's playoff games, including picks for Patriots vs. Broncos at 3:00 p.m. ET and Rams vs. Seahawks at 6:30 p.m. ET.
Let's dig into our NFL player props and best bets for Sunday's AFC and NFC Championship Games on January 25.
NFL Player Props — Conference Championships
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 3 p.m. | |
| 6:30 p.m. | |
| 3 p.m. | |
| 6:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Patriots vs. Broncos
Jarrett Stidham Over 13.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
By Brit Devine
Jarrett Stidham has always had some wiggle in him from the pocket, and I'm expecting the Broncos to have very little (if any) limitations on him compared to Bo Nix running the offense.
Over the past four weeks, Nix has amassed 31 rushing attempts for 100 yards.
The immobile C.J. Stroud put up 11 rushing yards last week against the Patriots, while Justin Herbert ran for 57 yards against them in the opening round. Josh Allen ran for 48 and 53 yards against the Patriots this season. Jaxson Dart hit them for 20 yards.
Add in the fact that QBs who have some mobility often run more in the playoffs, and we have a line sitting far too low.
With everything on the line, I'm not really expecting the Broncos to avoid letting their QB run when needed, and with head coach Sean Payton seemingly having unlimited confidence in Stidham, I'm expecting Stidham to go over this number with ease.
Pick: Jarrett Stidham Over 13.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Rams vs. Seahawks
Konata Mumpfield Over 0.5 Receptions (+100)
The Rams ran 11-personnel (3 wide receivers, 1 running back, 1 tight end) on a massive 44 dropbacks against the Bears.
The approach might not continue this week, but if it does, it'll be great news for Konata Mumpfield. He ran 24 routes last week. The rookie turned the increased opportunities into two catches on three targets.
The Rams went TE-heavy in the Week 16 matchup against the Seahawks, but they used 11-personnel plenty in the first meeting. The Rams used the formation on 22 of 28 dropbacks in Week 11, which led to a solid 50% route rate for Jordan Whittington, who was operating as the WR3 at the time.
Mumpfield has been running slightly ahead of Whittington in the postseason. There's a path to 20+ routes given the potential for the Rams to be playing from behind.
Pick: Konata Mumpfield Over 0.5 Receptions (+100)
Patriots vs. Broncos
Rhamondre Stevenson Under 2.5 Receptions (+115)
We cashed Rhamondre Stevenson over 2.5 receptions at plus-money last week. The line has now moved too far in the other direction.
This is a much tougher matchup against a Denver team that has held running backs to the fewest receptions per game on the 4th-fewest targets.
New England is also a healthy favorite going up against a backup quarterback. This could be a run-heavy game script for them.
Pick: Rhamondre Stevenson Under 2.5 Receptions (+115)
Rams vs. Seahawks
Rashid Shaheed Under 2.5 Receptions (-185)
There's plenty of juice on this prop, but it's worth tossing a unit on it.
This hit last week at 1.5, as Rashid Shaheed didn't catch either of his two targets.
Shaheed has now posted two catches on five targets over the past four games.
He was at a 48.5% route rate over the final three games of the regular season. It was 69.1% in his first six games with the team.
Pick: Rashid Shaheed Under 2.5 Receptions (-185)
