Thursday Night Football in Week 9 features a clash between the Baltimore Ravens and the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Fla.
- For more Thursday Night Football coverage, check out our Ravens vs Dolphins preview.
For my top Ravens vs Dolphins NFL PrizePicks and Underdog plays, I’m highlighting Tua Tagovailoa, Jaylen Waddle, and Lamar Jackson.
Tua Tagovailoa
More Than 21.5 Pass Completions
The Dolphins are coming off their best offensive performance in quite a while, and they are going to need to stay hot if they want to hang with a revitalized Ravens team.
Baltimore is a sizable favorite tonight, which means it should be leading this game for the majority of the time.
A trailing game script equates to more pass attempts for Tua Tagovailoa.
Tagovailoa is in a great matchup against a Ravens secondary that has been riddled with injuries and ranks 24th in pass attempts against and opponent completion percentage.
Baltimore is 30th in sack rate, so Tagovailoa should have time to find open receivers as well.
Jaylen Waddle
Less Than Than 65.5 Receiving Yards
While we should see a great number of completions from the Dolphins' passing attack, the depth of them is in question.
With a banged-up receiving corps, Jaylen Waddle has become the top target in the Dolphins offense, but he is also the guy opposing defenses will key in on.
We have seen Waddle thrive in this expanded role, surpassing this total in three of four games as the Dolphins' No. 1 wide receiver. Over this time, he's averaged 4.5 receptions per game, gaining an average of 17.2 yards per catch.
However, Baltimore's secondary is not as bad as it's looked, holding a positive EPA per pass and an average depth of target of just 8.28. Look for the Baltimore to make someone else beat them.
Lamar Jackson
More Than 0.5 Touchdowns
Lamar Jackson has been dearly missed by Ravens and NFL fans alike, as his rushing ability is like no other. Expect him to make an immediate impact on the ground.
In four games this season, Jackson averaged 5.3 rush attempts per game with three total red-zone rushing attempts. The Dolphins have struggled to contain mobile quarterbacks — they are 24th in rushing yards allowed and last in touchdowns allowed per game to signal-callers.
Jackson's mobility is a weapon in the red zone that Baltimore needs to utilize. Take him to find paydirt tonight.
