Super Bowl Props: Sunday Bets on Kenneth Gainwell, Justin Watson, More
Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images. Pictured: Justin Watson.
- Gilles Gallant has scoured the Super Bowl props market and found his favorite picks for Chiefs vs. Eagles.
- Gallant has made his usual Anytime Touchdown Scorer picks, but he's focused here on exotic props.
- Check out Gallant's favorite Super Bowl prop bets below.
Looking for Super Bowl props that are off the beaten path? If so, you’ve come to the right spot.
Action Network NFL betting expert Gilles Gallant has three props he likes for the showdown between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles.
He’s targeted the over and under for two role players, plus a bet on which team calls the first timeout. Read on for analysis below on these Super Bowl props. And don't forget to also check out our favorite Anytime Touchdown Scorers and interception props for Chiefs vs. Eagles.
Chiefs vs Eagles Player Props
Justin Watson
Under 17.5 Receiving Yards (-110; bet365)
While Watson has the highest average depth of target on the Chiefs, he’s also a low-volume player. He averaged two targets per game, with fewer than one catch per contest.
The matchup against the Eagles is also a tough one, as they allowed the fourth-fewest yards to receivers this season.
Watson has gone under this number in 12-of-18 games. Mecole Hardman being doubtful doesn’t exactly boost Watson either, as Watson went under 17.5 in 6-of-10 games even when Hardman was sidelined. I also project JuJu Smith-Schuster to play at least 70% of snaps due to his financial incentives – $1 million if he plays 50% of snaps and the Chiefs win.
Action Network’s projection god, Sean Koerner. has Watson at 12 yards assuming both Smith-Schuster and Kadarius Toney play. Both are on track to be active, according to head coach Andy Reid.
According to our Action Labs Pro Prop Tool, we show a 32.9% edge on Watson’s under as he’s projected for around six receiving yards.
He could go over in one catch, but I love the play on the under given all the supporting data.
Kenneth Gainwell
Over 11.5 Receiving Yards (-110; FanDuel)
Gainwell is undoubtedly the pass-catching back for Philadelphia, and when he gets receptions, that comes with yardage.
In 16 career games in which he’s had at least two catches, Gainwell has gone over this total 13 times. One of those games happened to be against the Chiefs last season.
This past season, K.C. was last in catches allowed to running backs and third worst in yards. Both Joe Mixon and Travis Etienne went over this mark against them.
Does Miles Sanders factor into this at all? Not really. Sanders has 10 total targets in the last 10 games – Gainwell has 18.
With over 1.5 catches for Gainwell juiced up to -150 at some sportsbooks, I’d rather take this yards angle.
Pick: Kenneth Gainwell Over 11.5 Receiving Yards |
Chiefs
To Call First Timeout (-105; bet365)
This one is an easy tail from The Oddsmaker himself, Sean Koerner. He detailed the edge on K.C. over Philly to burn a timeout first due to head coach Andy Reid’s wasteful ways.
For example, Reid and the Chiefs have called the first timeout in 15 of 19 games this season, whereas Nick Sirianni and the Eagles have only managed that in seven of 19 games.
The price is why I snatched this up at bet365. Koerner was recommending to take this prop at -115 and would play it down to -135. To get 30 cents in value on one of Koerner’s top picks makes this truly a value play.
Travis Kelce
First Team Touchdown Scorer (+330; FanDuel)
In 17 regular-season games, six first touchdown scorers against the Eagles were tight ends.
Kelce has scored the first Chiefs touchdown in 8-of-19 games (including the postseason). He all tight ends in touchdowns with 15, and has at least one in five consecutive playoff games. Notably, he had the first K.C. touchdown in both playoff games this season.
If I’m betting on Kelce, I’d rather take a swing on this side instead of anytime at -105 or worse. He had odds of +250 or lower for this market in 15-of-17 games this season.
Pick: Travis Kelce 1st Team Touchdown Scorer |
What is QuickSlip?
QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.
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