Vikings vs. Eagles Player Props, PrizePicks Predictions: Fade Jalen Hurts, Bet K.J. Osborn
Mitchell Leff/Getty Images. Pictured: Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts.
Celebrate this NFC North primetime matchup by parlaying some player props with PrizePIcks, which allows you to pair up and wager real cash on NFL player props in 27 states.
Let’s dive into my two favorite skill players for this matchup.
Under 235.5 Passing Yards
I am fine fading Jalen Hurts through the air.
Hurts picked up 243 passing yards against the Lions‘ defense, but that isn’t a compliment. The Lions have one of the worst secondaries in football, most recently allowing Carson Wentz to light them up for 337 yards and three touchdowns yesterday.
The Vikings should be a much stiffer test. They absolutely shut down Aaron Rodgers last week, holding the future Hall of Famer to under 200 passing yards while finishing Week 1 fourth in Dropback EPA per play allowed.
Hurts has managed 236 passing yards in just three of his past 10 starts, and I don’t expect him to ball out against the Vikings secondary in Week 2. Our Action Labs Player Props Tool projects him for just 224.5 passing yards on Monday Night, giving us plenty of value on this PrizePicks number.
Pick: Under 235.5 Passing Yards
Over 2.5 Receptions
Under new head coach Kevin O’Connell, the Vikings’ offense looks rejuvenated. Minnesota finished Week 1 eighth in EPA per play, finishing with 400 total yards at close to 6.6 yards per play.
Kirk Cousins is also playing well under O’Connell. Only Geno Smith and Josh Allen completed a higher percentage of their Week 1 passes than Cousins, and Cousins was a top-10 quarterback in EPA per play too.
While Justin Jefferson is the best receiver on the Vikings, Cousins has a number of weapons at his disposal. In fact, Cousins spread the ball out to eight different pass catchers in the Week 1 victory over Green Bay.
One of those guys was K.J. Osborn, who picked up a casual three receptions on four targets. But that’s what Osborn does every week, as he’s picked up at least three receptions in six of his last seven games.
Among Minnesota’s pass catchers, Only Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson ran more routes than Osborn’s 29 in Week 1. Osborn is going to run the routes, he’s historically received the targets, and he’s looked spectacular at times over the past year.
K.J. Osborn. Gone. 64 yards. pic.twitter.com/IDVatWM92o
— Will Ragatz (@WillRagatz) September 19, 2021
Our Action Labs Player Props Tool projects Osborn for 3.2 receptions on Monday Night, making Osborn Over 2.5 receptions a must-play on PrizePicks.
Pick: Over 2.5 Receptions