Flyers vs. Lightning Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2025

Flyers at Lightning

11:00 pm • ESPN+

Philadelphia Flyers

31-23-12

0 - 2

Tampa Bay Lightning

40-21-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Flyers 31-23-12	+1.5	+1.5-105	o5.5-120	+260
Lightning 40-21-4	u5.5	-1.5-115	u5.5+100	-325

Monday 11:00 p.m.

March 17, 2025

Benchmark International ArenaTampa

TB -1.5-115

TB -1.5-114

TB -1.5-115

0.87u

TB -1.5-105

Sura

Under 5.5+100

Johnny

Under 6-120

0.83u

Tampa Bay's defense has been solid at home—allowing just 2.27 goals per game, ranking among the top teams in home defense. Their penalty kill at Amalie Arena is elite (85.1%), shutting down opposing power plays. Philly’s offense has struggled lately, averaging just 1.4 goals per game over their last five. Flyers’ power play is ice-cold (0% over last five). Philadelphia’s defense is leaky (3.37 GA/G), but Tampa’s offense has been inconsistent, scoring just 3.2 goals per game over their last five. Vasilevskiy’s .918 SV% gives Tampa an edge in net, making it tough for Philly to capitalize on limited chances. Flyers also average just 25 shots per game over the last five—won’t generate enough volume to push this over. These teams have trended under recently, with Tampa going under in 7 of their last 10. Tampa has been strong as a favorite (11-2 last 13) but plays disciplined, defensive hockey at home. Given Tampa’s strong PK and Philly’s offensive struggles, this one stays low-scoring.

Under 5.5+130

0.91u

4.06% ev devig to Pinny

Flyers vs. Lightning Prediction, Pick, Odds, Best Bets
Action Network Staff•
Mar 17, 2025 UTC

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NHL Public Betting

Lightning are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Lightning are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Lightning are 19-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Lightning' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Lightning' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Lightning	31-34	12-19	19-14	21-34	10-0
Flyers	41-25	19-15	22-10	9-11	32-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Lightning	33-32	15-16	17-16	29-26	4-6
Flyers	34-32	15-19	19-13	8-12	26-20

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Lightning	40-21	N/A	N/A	33-22	7-3
Flyers	31-23	N/A	N/A	13-7	18-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 15th	@BOS	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 5.5	TB -185
Mar 13th	@PHI	L 3-4	-1.5 L	O 5.5	PHI -155
Mar 11th	@CAR	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 5.5	CAR +105
Mar 8th	BOS	L 0-4	-	-	-
Mar 7th	BUF	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 6.5	TB -245

Zemgus Girgensons
F
Girgensons is day-to-day with undisclosed
Day-to-Day
Maxwell Crozier
D
Crozier is out for season with abdomen
Out for Season
Emil Lilleberg
D
Lilleberg is out with face
Out
Dominic James
C
James is out with leg
Out
Declan Carlile
D
Carlile is out with undisclosed
Out

Rodrigo Abols
F
Abols is out with ankle
Out
Tyson Foerster
RW
Foerster is out with arm
Out

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Lightning

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MatchupOverUnder
Flyers 31-23-12	N/A	N/A
Lightning 40-21-4	N/A	N/A

Flyers vs. Lightning Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2025

Flyers at Lightning

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