- Manchester City have the highest expectations heading into the Premier League season with a point total of 84.5.
- Liverpool (76.5), Manchester United (75.5) and Tottenham (73.5) are forecasted to battle for second place.
- Cardiff City (32.5), Huddersfield Town (34.5) and Fulham (35.5) have the lowest totals and projected to be relegated.
Premier League teams are still making player transfers before the season kicks off, but sportsbooks around the market have released O/U point totals for all 20 clubs.
Last season went as expected with Manchester City winning the league and Manchester United finishing second, both going over their preseason point totals. Arsenal and Chelsea fell below their preseason point totals but both finished in the top six, while Tottenham and Liverpool slightly exceeded expectations to finish third and fourth, respectively.
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With fewer than three weeks until the opener between Manchester United and Leicester City, here’s a look at point totals for every club (via 5Dimes sportsbook):
Based on the expected point totals, the top six in order should be:
- Manchester City
- Manchester United
Manchester City are -150 favorites to win the league, and their season point total is listed at 84.5, eight higher than Liverpool’s.
The gap from the top six to everyone else is significant, but that’s been the trend over the last 10+ seasons. Arsenal’s point total is listed at 69.5 while Newcastle are Leicester City are next on the list at 52.5.
Newly promoted Cardiff City (32.5) have the lowest expectations, and they’re also the favorites to be relegated. They’re projected to be joined by Huddersfield and Fulham.
Oddsmakers are far more confident in newly promoted Wolverhampton’s ability to stay in the Premier League with an O/U of 39.5 and juice heavily on the over (-230). I do like their chances of getting 40+ points this season if you can find a better number.
One club that I think could struggle to reach their total is Burnley (44.5). A lot went their way last season and they still got to only 54, and with an added Europa League schedule on tap, they look like a solid bet to land under the total.