Ajax and Chelsea will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EDT at Stamford Bridge in London, England.
Chelsea is favored at a -400 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-250o / +200u) goals.
Let's get into my Ajax vs. Chelsea prediction.
Ajax vs. Chelsea Prediction
Pick: Chelsea -1.75 Asian Handicap
My Ajax vs. Chelsea best bet is on the road team to win by two goals or more.
Ajax vs. Chelsea Odds
| Ajax Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
2.5 -250o / 200u | +850 | |
| Chelsea Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
2.5 -250o / 200u | -400 | |
Ajax vs. Chelsea Picks, Parlay
After the international break, Chelsea struggled to find form, drawing with Brentford and losing three more games after. However, the Blues quickly regained footing, securing important wins against Liverpool, Benfica and Nottingham Forest.
Meanwhile, after two games, Ajax is the only team not to score in the Champions League. John Heitinga’s team sits at the bottom, in front of only Kairat Almaty, only thanks to a better goal difference.
Things are not looking great for the Eredivisie side domestically either. After nine rounds, Ajax is nine points behind the leader, Feyenoord, and enters this game after a 2-0 loss at home against Alkmaar.
It's evident that the Amsterdam team has defensive issues, as they’ve conceded, on average, 1.3 goals per game. Meanwhile, Chelsea averages the Premier League’s second-highest number of goals per match, with 2.0 per 90.
With the offensive quality of the hosts and the defensive frailties of the Dutch side, the Blues seem set for a commanding win. Add an 11-game streak without a win against an English side for Ajax, and Chelsea have what it takes to cover the -1.75 Asian handicap.
Enzo Maresca’s team will need at least a two-goal difference for this bet to win. Ajax are among the worst offensive teams, and could struggle to score. In this case, the Blues could easily cover the handicap set by the bookmakers.
Pick: Chelsea -1.75 Asian Handicap (bet365)
Ajax vs. Chelsea Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Ajax | Draw | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 10.8% | 15.1% | 74.1% |
Projected Total Goals
| Ajax | Total Goals | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 0.84 | 3.30 | 2.46 |
