Champions League Round of 16 Odds: Juventus Draws Atletico Madrid, Dortmund Meets Tottenham

Dec 18, 2018 10:30 PM EST

Getty Images. Pictured: Juventus players celebrating a goal

  • On Monday, December 17th, the Champions League Round of 16 matchups were announced and there are some incredible ones to look forward to including Juventus-Atletico Madrid and Liverpool-Bayern Munich.
  • Manchester City remain the +300 favorites to win the title after drawing Schalke in the Round of 16, a team they should easily advance past.
  • The matchups with the closest odds to advance are Dortmund-Tottenham and Porto-Roma, all listed at -110 to reach the quarterfinal.

The Champions League Round of 16 draw took place Monday, December 17th and there are plenty of juice encounters.

Each matchup is a home-and-home series with the best aggregate score advancing. The first legs will take place in February with the second legs featured in early March.


Here are the Round of 16 odds to advance, along with some interesting nuggets via @GracenoteLive:

Liverpool (-120) vs. Bayern Munich (+100)

Jurgen Klopp has lost 16 of 29 matches against Bayern Munich, but his Liverpool side are the slight favorites to advance this time. The Reds reached the final last season and are +950 to win it this season.

I thought Liverpool would be bigger favorites to advance past Bayern Munich, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see those odds tick up to the -130/-140 range.

Juventus (-200) vs. Atletico Madrid (+170)

Cristiano Ronaldo departed from Spain over the summer, but he’s back to haunt Atletico Madrid. Ronaldo has defeated Atletico twice in the Champions League finals and has scored 22 career goals against them in all competitions.

Juve are expected to advance in this matchup at around 66% of the time and they’ve got the third-best title odds at +620. Public bettors will likely hammer Juventus, but Atletico Madrid could be a sneaky contrarian play.

Real Madrid (-420) vs. Ajax (+340)

Real Madrid have won six straight matches against Ajax, outscoring the Dutch side 20-2, but those were obviously much different clubs. Real Madrid currently have the sixth-best title odds (+1150), while Ajax are +8000.

Real Madrid are expected to reach the quarterfinal (80.1% chance), but they’ve been prone to upsets this season. They lost to CSKA Moscow twice in the group stage while Ajax held their own against powerhouse Bayern Munich.

Again, this could be a sneaky spot to take the underdog.

PSG (-340) vs. Manchester United (+280)

PSG are heavy favorites to advance, but Manchester United have yet to lose a knockout round match against a French side (9 wins, 7 draws). It’ll be interesting to see if manager Jose Mourinho is still with the club by the time the Round of 16 starts, and United are big +4500 longshots to win it all.

PSG are hefty -340 favorites to advance, but a trip to Old Trafford is always difficult.

Porto (-110) vs. Roma (-110)

Porto eliminated Roma in the Champions League playoffs in 2016-17 and breezed through the group stage this season. This matchup is essentially a toss-up, but public bettors will be all over Roma based on name recognition.

If Porto drop down to plus-money odds, I’ll be pouncing on them to advance. I’ll also be looking to take Porto in the opening leg.


Barcelona (-850) vs. Lyon (+575)

Barcelona have never lost to Lyon in their history, winning four games and drawing two. Oddsmakers don’t feel confident in Lyon this year either, listing them at +575 just to advance to the quarterfinals.

One positive that Lyon can take into this matchup is the fact they earned two solid results against Manchester City in the group stage. Even though those games are in the past, that should give Lyon a glimmer of hope that they could spring an upset against a club like Barcelona.

Dortmund (-110) vs. Tottenham (-110)

This will be one of the best matchups in the Round of 16 and the odds suggest this is a coin flip. Tottenham (+2600) and Dortmund (+2800) also have nearly the same chance to win the title.

We should see totals of 3 in both legs, and maybe even 3.5.

Manchester City (-1000) vs. Schalke (+700)

The most lopsided matchup of the knockout stage features Man City (-1000) as huge favorites to advance past Schalke (+700).

Manchester City had already been the favorites to win the title, and Schalke was probably the weakest team they could be drawn with in the Round of 16. Because of that, City are now down to +300 to hoist the trophy.

  • Manchester City and Barcelona are still the favorites to lift the trophy, and both have very favorable matchups in the Round of 16.
  • Juventus, PSG and Liverpool round out the top-five with Real Madrid and Bayern Munich  just behind.
  • Schalke have the longest odds to lift the trophy, way behind Lyon, Porto, Roma and Ajax.

As the first legs approach in February, we’ll have betting breakdowns and value plays for each, so be on the lookout.

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