Chelsea (13-13-9) and Liverpool (17-11-7) will face off today at 7:30 a.m. EDT at Anfield in Liverpool.
Liverpool is favored at a -119 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (+104o / -130u) goals.
Let's get into my Chelsea vs. Liverpool prediction.
Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction
- Chelsea vs Liverpool Best Bet: Both Teams to Score — Yes / Over 2.5 Goals
My Chelsea vs Liverpool best bet is that both teams will score and the match will feature over 2.5 total goals. Liverpool's defense has been unreliable at home, while Chelsea has shown significant defensive frailties on the road, creating the perfect conditions for a high-scoring affair.
Chelsea vs Liverpool Odds
| Chelsea Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -110 | 2.5 -225o / 175u | +290 |
| Liverpool Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -130 | 2.5 -225o / 175u | -120 |
Chelsea vs Liverpool Picks
Here are our top Chelsea vs Liverpool picks:
- Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals (-152 at bet365)
- Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score (+200 at bet365)
The primary Chelsea vs Liverpool pick focuses on the high probability of goals. Liverpool has struggled to keep opponents out at Anfield this season, conceding in 12 of their 17 home league matches. Games at their home ground have seen an average of 2.94 goals, and this specific bet has been successful in five of their last six home league games.
On the other side, Chelsea’s defense has been particularly poor away from home. They have allowed 14 goals across their last five matches on the road. Despite their terrible run of form, which includes six consecutive league losses, they recently ended a long goal drought, showing they can still find the net. The historical data between these two clubs supports this prediction, as four of the last five meetings have seen both teams score and at least three goals.
For those looking for a value angle, combining a Liverpool win with both teams scoring offers attractive odds. Liverpool’s motivation is clear: a victory would secure their place in next season’s Champions League. While their defense is porous, their attack at Anfield remains potent. Given Chelsea's disastrous form and Liverpool's need for three points, a home win is the likely outcome, but a clean sheet is not.
Chelsea vs Liverpool Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Liverpool | Draw | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 42.8% | 22.2% | 35.0% |
Projected Total Goals
| Liverpool | Match Total | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 3.36 | 1.61 |
Chelsea vs Liverpool Betting Analysis
Liverpool aims to rebound from a tough loss against rival Manchester United, while Chelsea arrives at Anfield in a state of crisis. The Reds have made Anfield a fortress this season, securing 10 wins in 17 home matches. Their primary objective is to lock down Champions League qualification, as they sit six points clear of sixth place with three games remaining.
Chelsea is experiencing one of its worst runs in recent history, having lost six consecutive league matches for the first time since 1993. This collapse has seen them drop to ninth in the table, putting their chances of European football next season in serious jeopardy. Their defensive record is alarming, and they have struggled to build any momentum.
The head-to-head history heavily favors a goal-filled match. The last five league encounters have seen both teams find the back of the net, with an average of 3.4 goals per game. Furthermore, Liverpool has an excellent record against Chelsea at Anfield, losing just one of their last 10 league meetings at home against the London club.
This historical dominance, combined with Chelsea's current form, points toward a Liverpool victory, but the hosts' defensive issues suggest Chelsea will get on the scoreboard.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Chelsea vs Liverpool picks.
