Sweden (1-1-1) and France (3-0) will face off tonight in the World Cup Round of 32 at 5:00 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J.
France is favored at a -371 price on the moneyline, with the over/under set at 3.5 (+125o / -155u) goals.
Let's get into my France vs Sweden prediction.
France vs Sweden Prediction
Pick: Both Teams to Score.
Tournament favorite France takes on Sweden in a compelling knockout stage match on June 30, 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 5:00 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. As France aims to build on its perfect group stage record, Sweden looks to orchestrate a significant upset against one of the competition's most dominant teams. Let’s get into my France vs Sweden best bet.
France vs Sweden Odds
| Sweden Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -105 | 3.5 +125o / -155u | +900 |
| France Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -143 | 3.5 +125o / -155u | -371 |
France vs Sweden World Cup Preview
This knockout match presents a classic tactical battle. France's high-powered offense, featuring Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, will test a Swedish side expected to deploy a deep defensive block. However, containing a French team that has scored at least three goals in each of its group matches is a monumental task for any defense, let alone one as porous as Sweden's.
Sweden's defensive struggles are well documented, with the team having gone 14 straight games without a clean sheet. Their group stage matches saw an average of 4.67 goals, highlighting their involvement in open, high-scoring contests. This defensive instability is likely to be exposed by France's world-class attackers.
Historically, France has had the upper hand in this fixture, winning seven of the 12 official meetings. Their most recent competitive games in the 2020 Nations League ended in French victories (1-0 and 4-2). The last five encounters between these nations have averaged 3.0 goals per game, which reinforces the potential for another entertaining and high-scoring affair. This will be their first meeting at a major tournament since 2012, and the offensive talent on both sides points toward goals.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Sweden vs France picks.
France vs Sweden Picks, Parlay
- Both Teams to Score (-105)
- France to Win & Over 2 Total Goals (-152)
While France enters this match as the heavy favorite, Sweden possesses enough offensive firepower to challenge the French defense. The Swedish attack, led by the Premier League duo of Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres, has been effective throughout the tournament. This is supported by the fact that the 'Both Teams to Score' selection has been successful in each of Sweden's last nine games, including all three group stage matches.
France, for all its attacking brilliance, has shown some defensive vulnerabilities. The team's expected goals against (xGA) of 2.86 from the group stage suggests that a potent Swedish offense has a solid opportunity to score. Both Senegal and Norway managed to breach the French defense, indicating that a clean sheet is far from guaranteed for Les Bleus.
Conversely, France's attack has been exceptional, scoring 10 goals across three group games. Didier Deschamps' squad has scored three or more goals in every match of this tournament. They face a Swedish defense that has not recorded a clean sheet in 14 consecutive matches across all competitions. This sets the stage for France to score multiple goals, making the combination of a French victory and over two total goals an attractive proposition.
France vs Sweden Projected Lineups
France Expected Lineup (4-2-3-1)
Goalkeeper: Maignan
Defenders: Kounde, Saliba, Upamecano, Digne
Midfielders: Rabiot, Tchouameni; Dembele, Olise, Barcola
Forwards: Mbappe
Sweden Expected Lineup (3-4-3)
Goalkeeper: Nordfeldt
Defenders: Gudmunsson, Lagerbielke, Lindelof
Midfielders: Berhardsson, Ayari, Karlstrom, Stroud
Forwards: Elanga, Gyokeres, Isak
France vs Sweden Weather
Heat could impact the France-Sweden match with a heatwave hitting New Jersey this week. There will be a high of 91 degrees with 49% humidity in East Rutherford, N.J.
