Manchester City (1-0-1) and Villarreal (0-1-1) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EDT at Estadio de la Ceramica in Villarreal, Spain.
Man City is favored at a -140 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-169o / +132u) goals.
Let's get into my Man City vs. Villarreal prediction.
Man City vs. Villarreal Prediction
Pick: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals
My Man City vs. Villarreal best bet is on both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals.
Man City vs. Villarreal Odds
| Man City Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -152 | 2.5 -169o / +132u | -140 |
| Villarreal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 +110 | 2.5 -169o / +132u | +350 |
Man City vs. Villarreal Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Man City | Draw | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| 57.4% | 21.5% | 21.2% |
Projected Total Goals
| Man City | Total Goals | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| 1.90 | 2.98 | 1.08 |
Man City vs. Villarreal Betting Analysis
Manchester City looked exposed defensively in its last Champions League game. They face a Villarreal side that has shown plenty of attacking impetus this season, so we are backing both teams to score and the match to see at least three goals as part of our Villarreal vs Manchester City predictions.
City was excellent in the first half of its 2-2 away draw with Monaco. They stormed to a two-goal lead, but looked vulnerable in the second half. The home side finished the game with an xG (expected goals) tally of 1.45, just 0.09 less than City despite the visitors dominating the ball. Villarreal is likely not to dominate possession, but it has the quality to attack City as the Ligue 1 side did.
Pep Guardiola’s side’s defensive struggles in Europe aren’t new. City has kept one clean sheet in 11 European away matches since the start of the 2023/24 season, a 4-0 win over Slovan Bratislava. Those games have seen 4.26 goals on average, with both teams scoring in 11.
Villarreal’s last Champions League match was a thrilling 2-2 home draw against Juventus. That game saw a total of 30 shots, with seven big chances created between both teams. This clash with Manchester City is another that promises goals.
Man City vs. Villarreal Projected Starting Lineups
Man City
Donnarumma; Nunes, Stones, Gvardiol, O'Reilly; Gonzalez; Bobb, Silva, Foden, Doku; Haaland
Villarreal
Tenas; Mourino, Marin, Veiga, Cardona; Gueye, Parejo, Comesana; Pepe, Mikautadze, Buchanan
