Premier League Odds & Betting Picks for Arsenal vs. Manchester United (Saturday, Jan. 30)
Naomi Baker/Getty Images. Pictured: Arsenal star Alexandre Lacazette.
- Premier League giants Arsenal and Manchester United do battle Saturday at Emirates Stadium.
- The Red Devils are coming off a stunning upset loss against last-place Sheffield United.
- Jeremy Pond explains why he's backing the Gunners in a tight affair below.
Arsenal vs. Manchester United Odds
|Manchester United Odds||+140|
|Over/Under||2.5 (-122 / -103)|
|Day | Time||Saturday | 12:30 p.m. ET|
There are big matches played week in, week out across the Premier League landscape. And then there’s Saturday’s showdown between Arsenal and Manchester United, which pits two of Europe’s finest against each other.
The Gunners have been playing their best brand of soccer entering this contest, going unbeaten in seven of their last eight games across all competitions. Arsenal has won two on the bounce, with the hope of making it three consecutive victories against its storied rival.
In contrast, Manchester United is coming off one of the most stunning losses to hit England’s top flight this season. That shock defeat loss came via its 2-1 loss to last-place Sheffield United on Wednesday at Old Trafford.
Needless to say, this fixture has all the makings of being a downright barnburner at The Emirates. To say there’s plenty on the line for both sides would be the definition of an understatement.
Let’s take a look at these powers and see what might be in cards in this game.
Life for the Gunners could really not be going any better at the moment, which is something the outfit couldn’t say a month ago.
Yes, it has been quite the turnaround for Arsenal, which went winless in five of six games during a 16-day stretch in December that put Mikel Arteta smack-dab on the managerial hot seat.
The Gunners have won five of their last six league affairs, with a disappointing scoreless draw against Crystal Palace being the only non-win on its account. They’re now sitting in ninth place on the table, locked in a tie with Chelsea on 33 points.
Needless to say, a second-half charge from Arsenal could catapult it into serious contention for a top-four finish and Champions League berth. The Gunners, led by star Alexandre Lacazette’s team-leading eight goals, have a favorable schedule ahead, so any points here would be huge moving forward.
As for Arsenal’s advanced metrics, the club sits on 27.6 expected goals and 23.1 expected goals against, resulting in a resectable +4.5 xGDiff and +0.22 xGDiff/90 minutes.
All seemed to be going well for manager Ole Gunnar Solskjær and the Red Devils prior to the midweek meeting with Sheffield United.
The wins were flowing. They’d gone unbeaten in 12 of their last 13 matches across all competitions, with the lone blemish coming via a 2-0 defeat against Manchester City in a EFL Cup semifinal on Jan. 6 at Old Trafford.
And most importantly, Manchester United had worked its way back atop the league standings.
Then, in one fell swoop, it all came crashing down when the Blades came to town and delivered the Red Devils the harshest of reality checks. An outfit with 10 fewer wins and a whopping 35 fewer points left the pitch with all three points, plus a signature win in a forgettable season.
When comparing advanced metrics with Arsenal, Manchester United holds slight advantages in all similar categories. The Red Devils have a solid 32.5 expected goals and 25.9 expected goals against, resulting in a stellar +6.6 xGDiff and +0.33 for xGDiff/90 minutes.
Betting Analysis & Picks
These are very evenly matched sides, but it looks like Manchester United’s loss to Sheffield United could carry over into this match, which could lead to even further trouble for the club.
That said, I give Arsenal the slightest edge in this showdown and will back it via a Draw No Bet wager at plus money. The Gunners have won three in a row in this series, and are unbeaten in their last four games against the Red Devils.
I will also play both teams to score in the match. The Red Devils have only been shut out twice in their last 13 outings. As for the Gunners, they’ve scored at least once in 10 of their last 13 tilts. Bottom line, expect goals in this affair.
Picks: Arsenal — Draw No Bet (+108) | Both Teams To Score — Yes (-165)