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USA vs Belgium Polymarket Picks: The Best Way to Trade Tonight’s Match (July 6)

USA vs Belgium Polymarket Picks: The Best Way to Trade Tonight’s Match (July 6) article feature image
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Reuters/David Gonzales. Pictured: Christian Pulisic.

The USMNT will duke it out with Belgium in Seattle tonight as both teams look to advance to the World Cup Quarterfinals.

Below, I will break down this matchup and further some Polymarket trades for tonight's contest.

If you're new to Polymarket, or prediction markets in general, be sure to use our Polymarket promo code in order to get the most out of your first trade.

USA vs Belgium 3-Way Moneyline Predictions

USMNT vs Belgium Matchup Analysis

The USMNT boasts significant midfield control and athletic prowess, both of which have largely contributed to their early dominance.

Though the road for the United States to make a deep World Cup run just got significantly more difficult, the sky is the limit for the USMNT if they can outlast an experienced Belgian bunch coming off of an exceptional comeback victory over Senegal.

However, it has been a very up-and-down World Cup thus far for the Belgians, who won just one of their three matches in the Group stage — recording two draws in the process.

While the Belgians were a highly-touted squad heading into the 2026 World Cup, they have been largely disappointing, with some of the nation’s premier stars having yet to impress.

You can trade Belgium at 36% on Polymarket as we head into what should be a very closely contested matchup.

Belgium is also trading at 48% to advance to the quarterfinals, whilst the USMNT is priced at 53%.

Best Trade for USMNT vs Belgium: Minion's Pick

In a classic matchup pitting extreme athleticism against sizable World Cup experience, I expect fireworks.

I favor the Americans, who are far younger and should be very motivated in front of their home fans.

That said, I feel great making a trade on the United States to advance to the Quarterfinals at 53% on Polymarket. Also, I will be looking to trade on ‘Both Teams to Score’ (BTTS), priced at 61% on Polymarket.

In addition, I love backing USMNT captain Christian Pulisic to find the back of the net given Folarin’s absence from Monday’s ‘Round of 16’ matchup. That's trading at 33% on Polymarket.

Minion's Picks: USA to Advance (53%), Both Teams to Score (61%), Pulisic to Score (33%)

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About the Author

Ryan graduated from Providence College in 2016 with Bachelor Degrees in Business Economics & Mathematics. It was at Providence where Ryan really first found his passion for sports betting. For a lifelong sports fan with a knack for statistical analysis, he was instantly drawn to the fundamentals of the industry, specifically how sports betting markets functioned and fluctuated. In what primarily started as a recreational hobby, Ryan began studying the ins-and-outs of sports betting markets on a daily basis. He took to Twitter (now X), where he amassed a following for writing a sports betting blog that provided statistical analysis behind his wagers. In spite of seeking employment opportunities elsewhere post graduation, Ryan continued to follow his passion for the statistical analysis of sports betting wagers, eventually deciding to pursue a career in the sports betting industry.

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