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USA vs. Bosnia Odds: Bettors Heavily Backing USMNT in Knockout Opener

USA vs. Bosnia Odds: Bettors Heavily Backing USMNT in Knockout Opener article feature image
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Pictured: Christian Pulisic. (Credit: REUTERS/Lisi Niesner)

World Cup odds head to the Knockout Stage for the U.S. Men’s National Team. No surprise, interest is quite high for the USA’s Wednesday night match vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina.

Read on for more from DraftKings Sportsbook on how wagering sits for USA vs. Bosnia odds.

USA vs. Bosnia 2026 World Cup Odds

As of noon ET Wednesday, eight hours before kickoff, the U.S. is -275 on DraftKings Sportsbook's three-way moneyline. Bosnia is a +800 underdog, with Draw at +400 in the 90 minutes plus injury time market.

That’s a notable change just from Tuesday night’s numbers of USA -255/Bosnia +750/Draw +380. And it’s quite a gap from last week’s opener of USA -155/Bosnia +500/Draw +285

Further, in the To Advance market, USA vs. Bosnia odds are at USA -800/Bosnia +500.

USA vs Bosnia Picks, Odds, Props, Predictions for World Cup Round of 32 Image

"Bettors continue to back Team USA, and we don't expect that momentum to slow anytime soon," DraftKings director of sportsbook operations Johnny Avello said. "Nearly 90% of the money is on them to advance to the quarterfinals."

On the three-way moneyline, the U.S. is seeing 92% of money, with Bosnia at 6% and Draw 2%.

"The U.S. has been the most heavily bet team throughout the tournament, by a wide margin. As long as they're still playing, Team USA will remain the most popular pick on the board."

USMNT a Massive Favorite

When the United States takes the field against Bosnia and Herzegovina, they’ll do so as −266 favorites — about a 73% chance to win in regulation, and the shortest price the U.S. men have ever carried into a World Cup match.

Across the past 10 World Cups, dating back to 1990 — the Americans had never been priced heavier than roughly −175, the number they wore against Australia earlier this summer. Before that, their peak was a barely-odds-on −114 against Algeria in 2010.

The Bosnia line more than doubles it.

Push the question past 1990, and the odds run out, so the ratings take over. Elo, which covers every U.S. World Cup back to 1930, tells it plainly: the early American sides were coin flips or underdogs — level with Belgium in 1930, long shots against Italy in 1934, and no-hopers when they shocked England in 1950.

None were favorites, let alone favorites like this.

And even the USA’s widest rating edges — an 80% Elo mark over Algeria in 2010 — never drew a market price near −266. By the line itself, this is likely the biggest favorite the United States has ever been at a World Cup.
(Editor's Note: Evan Abrams contributed to this report)

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Patrick EversonVerified Action Expert
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About the Author

Evan is the Director of Research for the Action Network. Born and raised in New York City, he solely roots for teams who cover. His fears: bullpens, quicksand and stoppage time.

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