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The New York Liberty (26-18) and Minnesota Lynx (33-11) meet in the WNBA Playoffs Game 1 today. Tipoff is set for 2:00 p.m. EDT at Target Center in Minneapolis, Minn. The game will be broadcast live on ABC.
The Lynx are favored by -6.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 172.5 (-114o / -106u). The Lynx are a -280 favorite to win outright, while the Liberty are +220 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into our Liberty vs. Lynx predictions and WNBA picks. Be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Liberty vs. Lynx Odds, Pick
| Liberty Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -106 | 172.5 -114o / -106u | +220 |
| Lynx Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -114 | 172.5 -114o / -106u | -280 |
- Liberty vs. Lynx Spread: Lynx -6.5 (-114), Liberty +6.5 (-106)
- Liberty vs. Lynx Over/Under: 172.5 (-114o / -106u)
- Liberty vs. Lynx Moneyline: Liberty +220, Lynx -280
- Liberty vs. Lynx Best Bet: Courtney Williams Over 12.5 Points (-110)
Liberty vs. Lynx Preview
The first round of the WNBA postseason tips off in Minneapolis as the Minnesota Lynx prepare to host the New York Liberty.
Minnesota enters the opening game of this series with a strong 33-11 overall record and an impressive 15-7 mark on home court. The Lynx boast one of the most potent scoring attacks in the league, averaging 90.8 points per game while knocking down shots at an efficient 47.7% rate from the field.
That efficiency could play a major factor, considering New York’s defense allows opponents to shoot 44.8% from the floor.
On the other side, the Liberty come into the matchup posting a 26-18 record overall and a 12-10 effort on the road.
New York presents a perimeter threat by connecting on 10.2 three-pointers per game, nearly a full shot beyond the arc more than Minnesota's defense typically surrenders.
These two squads met three times during the regular season, with the Liberty taking two of those contests, including a 93-81 victory on September 18.
Injury reports show Minnesota missing Anastasiia Olairi Kosu due to a foot issue, while New York lists center Jonquel Jones as questionable with an ankle injury.
Liberty vs. Lynx Prediction
Action PRO projects Courtney Williams to finish with 15.25 points against New York, creating a sizable 22.9% edge against her current points line set at over/under 12.5. This notable disparity earns the Over an A+ grade within the projection system.
In her most recent meeting with the Liberty on September 18, Williams put up 12 points while going 5-for-12 from the floor and 2-for-3 from deep across 29 minutes.
With the postseason stakes raised and Minnesota seeking a commanding start to the series, her workload should naturally expand.
Furthermore, with New York's primary defensive attention expected to hyper-focus on key offensive threats like Napheesa Collier and Olivia Miles, Williams should find herself with plenty of open looks and scoring opportunities to clear her points line.
Best Bet: Courtney Williams Over 12.5 Points (-110)
