The Minnesota Lynx (31-10) and Connecticut Sun (10-31) meet in the WNBA this afternoon. Tipoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn. The game will be broadcast live on NBCS-BOS.
The Lynx are favored by -16.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 167.5 (-110o / -110u). The Lynx are a -1800 favorite to win outright, while the Sun are +880 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into our Lynx vs. Sun predictions and WNBA picks, and be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Lynx vs. Sun Odds, Pick
| Lynx Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-16.5 -115 | 167.5 -110o / -110u | -1800 |
| Sun Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+16.5 -105 | 167.5 -110o / -110u | +880 |
- Lynx vs. Sun Spread: Lynx -16.5 (-115), Sun +16.5 (-105)
- Lynx vs. Sun Over/Under: 167.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Lynx vs. Sun Moneyline: Lynx -1800, Sun +880
- Lynx vs. Sun Best Bet: Sun +16.5 (-105)
Lynx vs. Sun Preview
Our Bet Labs "Bet Bad Teams as Big Dogs after Non-Close Loss" system recommends backing the Sun to cover a large spread today.
As bad as the Sun have been, special circumstances are at play given the proximity of the playoffs and the low stakes in these last few regular-season matchups.
This is reflected in the Lynx's current three-game losing streak, which makes sense as they save strength for a title run.
Even if Minnesota refuses to stay on this path and bounces back against the lowly Sun, a 16.5-point difference might be too much to ask of a team that's already thinking ahead.
Lynx vs. Sun Prediction
This WNBA system focuses only on games after a non-close loss—defined as a margin of defeat worse than seven points. These situations heighten market negativity and inflate the next spread.
However, this system suggests that WNBA teams—even with poor records—can respond competitively, especially when lines cross a key value threshold like 11.5 or more.
You’re capturing max line inflation driven by poor optics, not predictive fundamentals.
Best Bet: Sun +16.5 (-105, FanDuel)
