The Seattle Storm (8-32) and Golden State Valkyries (29-11) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 9:00 p.m. EDT at Chase Center in San Francisco, Calif. The game will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime Video.
The Valkyries are favored by -13.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 156.5 (-115o / -105u). The Valkyries are a -950 favorite to win outright, while the Storm are +575 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Storm vs. Valkyries predictions and WNBA picks.
Storm vs. Valkyries Odds, Pick
| Storm Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+13.5 -110 | 156.5 -115o / -105u | +575 |
| Valkyries Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-13.5 -110 | 156.5 -115o / -105u | -950 |
- Storm vs. Valkyries Spread: Storm +13.5 (-110), Valkyries -13.5 (-110)
- Storm vs. Valkyries Over/Under: 156.5 (-115o / -105u)
- Storm vs. Valkyries Moneyline: Storm +575, Valkyries -950
- Storm vs. Valkyries Best Bet: Natisha Hiedeman Under 13.5 Points
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Storm vs. Valkyries Preview
Natisha Hiedeman is putting together a career year overall, pacing for a career-best 15.3 points per game. Prior to this breakout campaign, Hiedeman had spent seven professional seasons without ever cracking the 10-point average threshold.
However, her recent form paints a concerning picture of inconsistency. Heading into the FIBA World Cup break and through Seattle's initial game back, Hiedeman has sputtered offensively, averaging just 8.6 points over her last five appearances.
The primary catalyst behind her recent scoring drop-off is a severe slump from beyond the arc:
She's shooting just 18% from 3-point range over her last seven games, including a brutal 2-for-14 stretch from deep over her past five contests.
Since Hiedeman relies heavily on jump shots, her lack of perimeter touch dramatically limits her scoring potential when her shot isn't falling.
Golden State’s defensive identity poses an immediate threat to a guard searching for her rhythm. The Valkyries rank third in the WNBA in 3-point scoring defense, consistently funneling ball-handlers inside and denying clean looks from the wings.
With an elite wing rotation capable of switching on perimeter screens, Golden State excels at limiting high-volume long-range shooters.
Against a Seattle offense that relies on Hiedeman to stretch the floor, Golden State's ability to contest outside shots creates a massive obstacle for the Storm guard to break out of her shooting funk.
Storm vs. Valkyries Prediction
Action Network's PRO Projections identify substantial value on taking the under on Hiedeman's point total. By weighing her recent 8.6 PPG stretch over the last five games alongside Golden State's top-three perimeter defense, the model finds a strong discrepancy between her posted total and her current offensive floor.
Hiedeman’s breakout season has hit a major wall, and facing one of the stingiest 3-point defenses in the league is the worst possible recipe for a bounce-back. Expect Golden State to contest her shots on the perimeter, keep her off the line, and hold her under the 13.5-point milestone.
Back the projection edge and take the Under.
Best Bet: Natisha Hiedeman Under 13.5 Points (-127)
