The Los Angeles Sparks (2-4) and Las Vegas Aces (2-2) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. EDT at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Paradise, Nev. The game will be broadcast live on ION.
Let's get into my Sparks vs. Aces predictions and WNBA picks.
The Aces are favored by -9 on the spread, with the over/under set at 164.5 (-115o / -109u). The Aces are a -450 favorite to win outright, while the Sparks are +333 to pull off the upset.
Sparks vs. Aces Odds, Pick
| Sparks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+10.5 -115 | 166 -112o / -108u | +400 |
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-10.5 -105 | 166 -112o / -108u | -535 |
- Sparks vs. Aces Spread: Aces -9 (-110 ), Sparks +9 (-110)
- Sparks vs. Aces Over/Under: 164.5 (-115o / -109u)
- Sparks vs. Aces Moneyline: Sparks +333, Aces -450
- Sparks vs. Aces Best Bet: Aces -9
Sparks vs. Aces Preview
Stunningly, the Aces lost by 20 to the Storm in Seattle on Sunday. The Aces may not be as dominant as they've been in past seasons, but a 20-point loss was still shocking to see.
With four players averaging at least 10 points per game, there's plenty of talent on this roster. A'ja Wilson, obviously, leads the way with averages of 20.8 points and 10.8 rebounds per game, but don't forget about Jackie Young (17.8 points per game) and Chelsea Gray (12.3 points per game) as Vegas looks to get back on track.
The Sparks are also looking to get in rhythm as they've lost four of their past five games. However, the big storyline in this contest is Kelsey Plum's return to Las Vegas.
After spending the first seven seasons of her career with the Stars/Aces, Plum was traded to the Sparks over the offseason. Now in Los Angeles, Plum is averaging 25.2 points per game, a career high.
Sparks vs. Aces Prediction
This system targets WNBA favorites, specifically in the regular season, with a spread between -9.5 and -6. It also targets games in which the closing total falls between 145 and 165 — matchups expected to feature a relatively high, but not runaway, pace.
By focusing on teams coming off a loss by a narrow-to-significant margin, the system identifies bounce-back opportunities where talent and market pressure align. It aims to exploit situations where elite teams are undervalued due to recent underperformance, yet can remain in control within fast-paced, competitive environments.
This system has yet to trigger this season, but is 41-21-1 (66%) with a 26% ROI lifetime. Here's hoping it goes 1-0 to start 2025!
Best Bet: Aces -9
