The Phoenix Mercury and Las Vegas Aces meet in the WNBA Finals Game 1 tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. EDT at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Paradise, Nev. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN.
The Aces are favored by -3.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 160.5 (-110o / -110u). The Aces are a -165 favorite to win outright, while the Mercury are +140 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Mercury vs. Aces predictions and WNBA picks.
Mercury vs. Aces Odds, Picks
| Mercury Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -115 | 160.5 -110o / -110u | +140 |
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -105 | 160.5 -110o / -110u | -165 |
- Mercury vs. Aces Spread: Aces -3.5 (-105), Mercury +3.5 (-115)
- Mercury vs. Aces Over/Under: 160.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Mercury vs. Aces Moneyline: Mercury +140, Aces -165
- Mercury vs. Aces Best Bets: Las Vegas Aces ML and A’Ja Wilson 25+ Points
Mercury vs. Aces Preview, Prediction
The Aces have made us a lot of money this postseason, and we will continue riding with them in this matchup.
Las Vegas has dominated on its home floor in 2025, which is a huge advantage in this series.
The Aces went 17-5 at home during the regular season, paired with a 4-1 playoff record there.
Phoenix has been a great story so far, but I don't believe they have the firepower to compete with the Aces.
I will also back A’Ja Wilson to get 25+ points tonight. The MVP has showcased her talents in the postseason, averaging 26.0 points per game in the playoffs.
Wilson will dominate this contest again with 15-18 attempts and soar past this point total.
Best Bets: Las Vegas Aces ML and A’Ja Wilson 25+ Points
