The Phoenix Mercury (5-2) and Las Vegas Aces (5-3) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. EDT at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Paradise, Nev. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN.
The Aces are favored by -3 on the spread, with the over/under set at 159.5 (-115o / -108u). The Aces are a -155 favorite to win outright, while the Mercury are +130 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Mercury vs. Aces prediction and WNBA Finals Game 1 best bet.
Mercury vs. Aces Odds, Pick
| Mercury Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -109 | 159.5 -115o / -108u | +130 |
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -111 | 159.5 -115o / -108u | -155 |
- Mercury vs. Aces Spread: Aces -3 (-111 ), Mercury +3 (-109)
- Mercury vs. Aces Over/Under: 159.5 (-115o / -108u)
- Mercury vs. Aces Moneyline: Mercury +130, Aces -155
- Mercury vs. Aces Best Bet: Satou Sabally 15+ Points, Mercury Moneyline
Jim Turvey's Mercury vs. Aces Prediction, Betting Preview
My best bet is Satou Sabally to tally 15+ points and the Mercury moneyline.
I've been playing this every game, and it has been awesome. Phoenix is 5-0 when Sabally gets to 15 points and 0-2 when she doesn't — they go as she goes.
Alyssa Thomas, her floor is amazing. She's going to score at least 12 points, but she's probably not going to score more than 18. Kahleah Copper has been a little bit in and out this postseason and hasn't done a ton, so I'm wondering if she is saving a bit.
In short, when Sabally is cooking, the Mercury are cooking, and I like the Mercury in Game 1.
I also look at this price in terms of the spread, and 2.5 points is basically what you get for home court. I don't think the Aces are one point better than the Mercury. In fact, I think I would probably make the Mercury one point better than the Aces, so that's about a two-point swing right there.
I just want to bet on the team that's a couple of points off the market here.
Best Bet: Satou Sabally 15+ Points, Mercury Moneyline
