THE PLAYERS Championship Odds: Dustin Johnson, Bryson DeChambeau the Favorites at TPC Sawgrass

THE PLAYERS Championship Odds: Dustin Johnson, Bryson DeChambeau the Favorites at TPC Sawgrass article feature image
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Chris Condon/PGA TOUR via Getty Images.

  • The 2021 PLAYERS Championship begins on Thursday, March 11 at TPC Sawgrass in Florida.
  • Dustin Johnson is the betting favorite to win THE PLAYERS but he's got plenty of company at the top of the odds.
  • Check out the full betting odds below:

THE PLAYERS Championship has everything you want as a golf speculator. The field is elite, the course is iconic and the potential for bedlam is pretty high.

With 48 of the top 50 players in the world set to compete, you’d imagine that it would be pretty hard for a longshot to come out on top at TPC Sawgrass. But this tournament is full of surprises and has produced winners from all over the board over the past decade. Si Woo Kim famously won this tournament as a 500/1 longshot back in 2017, but we’ve also seen some players win at short odds, including defending champion Rory McIlroy who won the 2019 PLAYERS as a +1200 co-favorite according to GolfOdds.com.

  • 2010: Tim Clark (+10000)
  • 2011: K.J. Choi (+4000)
  • 2012: Matt Kuchar (+4000)
  • 2013: Tiger Woods (+800)
  • 2014: Martin Kaymer (+6000)
  • 2015: Rickie Fowler (+5000)
  • 2016: Jason Day (+1000)
  • 2017: Si Woo Kim (+50000)
  • 2018: Webb Simpson (+6000)
  • 2019: Rory McIlroy (+1200)

Si Woo’s 500/1 extravaganza will be tough to match, but there are a lot of intriguing prices on the board. There’s really something for every type of bettor this week. Let’s take a look at the odds for the 2021 PLAYERS Championship.

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The Favorites

Dustin Johnson finally came back down to earth with a T54 finish at the WGC-Workday but one poor showing won’t be enough to knock the World No. 1 from his perch at the top of the oddsboard. Prior to his 6-over at The Concession, DJ had amassed nine top-10 finishes in his last 10 outings.

Johnson has plenty of company near the top with Bryson DeChambeau and Rory McIlroy right behind him at +1200 and Jon Rahm is next at +1400.

After seeing his odds drift a little bit ahead of the WGC-Workday, DeChambeau was back near the top of the odds at the API and paid off his backers with a victory. DeChambeau was full of chutzpah at Bay Hill, but he was also dialed in.

Bryson was second in the field in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and perhaps more importantly for this week gained strokes with his approach. Sawgrass isn’t known as a bomber’s paradise, so seeing Bryson post strong numbers with his irons is definitely worth noting if you want to bet him to go back-to-back.

GolfBet

McIlroy is an interesting case. The Northern Irishman hasn’t won in 15 months, but his odds haven’t drifted much at all over that span. This isn’t to suggest McIlroy has been bad over his winless stretch. In fact, McIlroy has finished inside the top-20 in 10 of his last 12 starts, including back-to-back top-10s at the WGC-Workday and the API.

The conundrum for bettors is that, while McIlroy has been consistent, he hasn’t broken through and that makes odds this short tough to swallow, even if McIlroy is the defending champion.

The rest of the favorites are as expected, save for Viktor Hovland at +1800. The affable Norwegian has been white hot for a long time, but it is still a bit jarring to see Hovland with shorter odds than Patrick Cantlay (+2200), Tony Finau (+2500), Patrick Reed (+3300) and Tyrrell Hatton (+3300).

It will be interesting to see how popular Jordan Spieth is at +2500. At this point, it seems safe to say that Spieth has found his game and is in form, but bettors may be a bit skittish about buying high on Spieth considering he was regularly priced in the triple-digits not too long ago.

2020 Northern Trust picks
Jared C. Tilton, Getty Images. Pictured: Sungjae Im

Big Names and Big Numbers

One of the great things about a field this deep is you can get some great prices on some big names. Daniel Berger certainly fits that mold at +4000. Berger is only a couple of weeks removed from a win at Pebble Beach, but has drifted into the mid-tier for no real reason. I’d imagine that Berger will get a lot of attention if this number sticks around long enough.

There is plenty of starpower right behind Berger as cases can be made for any of Tommy Fleetwood (+4500), Jason Day (+5000), Joaquin Niemann (+5000), Scottie Scheffler (+5000), Matthew Fitzpatrick (+5500), Sungjae Im (+5500) and/or Paul Casey (+5500) at these prices.

Buy the Dip?

Sam Burns had bookmakers shaking in their boots a little bit at Bay Hill. Listed at +4500, Burns was one of the most popular bets on the board at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and seemingly everybody in the GolfBet universe had a piece of Burns in either betting or DFS. You know how this story ends. Burns, who has never won a PGA TOUR event, struggled right out of the gates at Bay Hill and unceremoniously missed the cut at 5-over par. Something tells me bettors won’t be lining up to bet Burns at Sawgrass.

The same can be said of Francesco Molinari. The Italian was not nearly as chalky as Burns, but he got some play at the API at +3500. Like Burns, Molinari was an unmade bed at Bay Hill and missed the cut. He is currently listed at +9000 to win THE PLAYERS.

Other Notables

  • Corey Conners (+9000): After coming up just short at Bay Hill the Canadian has opened at 90/1 for THE PLAYERS. Conners is known as one of the best ball-strikers on TOUR and is always popular when he’s priced this deep. You can safely assume that his third-place finish will only add to his popularity.
  • Cameron Smith (+6600): It feels like Cam Smith is always lurking. The Aussie is coming off back-to-back strong performances at the Genesis and WGC-Workday, so he’s certainly worth keeping an eye on.
  • Gary Woodland (+17500): The 2019 U.S. Open champion is coming off an injury and his form is almost unbettable, but this number certainly stops you in your tracks.
  • Matthew NeSmith (+17500): NeSmith’s name was bandied about as a potential sleeper last week but he never got going at Bay Hill and missed the cut. That said, NeSmith continued his strong iron play and gained 1.25 strokes on the field with his approach. The rest of the game was a mess but punters will be putting a premium on SG:APP this week, so don’t forget about NeSmith.

2021 PLAYERS Championship Odds

Odds via DraftKings and current as 12 a.m. ET on Monday.

Player Odds
Dustin Johnson +1000
Bryson DeChambeau +1200
Rory McIlroy +1200
Jon Rahm +1400
Viktor Hovland +1800
Xander Schauffele +1800
Justin Thomas +1800
Collin Morikawa +2000
Webb Simpson +2000
Patrick Cantlay +2200
Tony Finau +2500
Jordan Spieth +2500
Tyrrell Hatton +3300
Hideki Matsuyama +3300
Patrick Reed +3300
Daniel Berger +4000
Tommy Fleetwood +4500
Jason Day +5000
Joaquin Niemann +5000
Scottie Scheffler +5000
Paul Casey +5500
Matthew Fitzpatrick +5500
Sungjae Im +5500
Louis Oosthuizen +6600
Cam Smith +6600
Adam Scott +6600
Abraham Ancer +8000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +8000
Corey Conners +8000
Harris English +8000
Sergio Garcia +8000
Billy Horschel +8000
Jason Kokrak +8000
Justin Rose +8000
Lee Westwood +8000
Will Zalatoris +8000
Max Homa +9000
Francesco Molinari +9000
Sam Burns +10000
Russell Henley +10000
Lanto Griffin +10000
Matt Kuchar +10000
Kevin Na +10000
Marc Leishman +10000
Carlos Ortiz +10000
Ian Poulter +10000
Si Woo Kim +10000
Bubba Watson +10000
Cameron Davis +12500
Rickie Fowler +12500
Emiliano Grillo +12500
Brian Harman +12500
Matt Jones +12500
Chris Kirk +12500
Kevin Kisner +12500
Russell Knox +12500
Shane Lowry +12500
Maverick McNealy +12500
Ryan Palmer +12500
Kevin Streelman +12500
Cameron Tringale +12500
Bernd Wiesberger +12500
Byeong-hun An +15000
Talor Gooch +15000
Adam Hadwin +15000
Sebastian Munoz +15000
Brendon Todd +15000
Keegan Bradley +17500
Branden Grace +17500
Charley Hoffman +17500
Zach Johnson +17500
Phil Mickelson +17500
Ryan Moore +17500
Matthew NeSmith +17500
Alexander Noren +17500
Brendan Steele +17500
Henrik Stenson +17500
Richy Werenski +17500
Gary Woodland +17500
Andrew Putnam +17500
Jhonattan Vegas +17500
Cameron Champ +20000
Wyndham Clark +20000
Charles Howell III +20000
Luke List +20000
Adam Long +20000
Robert MacIntyre +20000
Henrik Norlander +20000
Victor Perez +20000
J.T. Poston +20000
Chez Reavie +20000
Harold Varner III +20000
Joel Dahmen +25000
Dylan Fritelli +25000
Mackenzie Hughes +25000
Martin Laird +25000
Tom Lewis +25000
Peter Malnati +25000
Rory Sabbatini +25000
Brandt Snedeker +25000
Sepp Straka +25000
Danny Willett +25000
Aaron Wise +25000
Doug Ghim +25000
Cameron Percy +25000
Charl Schwartzel +25000
Patton Kizzire +25000
Brice Garnett +30000
Lucas Glover +30000
James Hahn +30000
Bo Hoag +30000
Tom Hoge +30000
Mark Hubbard +30000
Kyoung-hoon Lee +30000
Nate Lashley +30000
Denny McCarthy +30000
Scott Piercy +30000
Doc Redman +30000
Patrick Rodgers +30000
Adam Schenk +30000
Kyle Stanley +30000
Nick Taylor +30000
Michael Thompson +30000
CT Pan +35000
Stewart Cink +35000
Graeme McDowell +35000
Keith Mitchell +35000
Pat Perez +35000
Sam Ryder +35000
Harry Higgs +40000
Andrew Landry +40000
Danny Lee +40000
Troy Merritt +40000
Scott Stallings +40000
Brian Stuard +40000
Hudson Swafford +40000
Vaughn Taylor +40000
Austin Cook +50000
Jason Dufner +50000
Tyler Duncan +50000
Beau Hossler +50000
Tyler McCumber +50000
Robby Shelton +50000
Robert Streb +50000
Sung Kang +50000
Jimmy Walker +50000
Ryan Armour +75000
Scott Brown +75000
Brian Gay +75000
Xinjun Zhang +100000
Scott Harrington +100000
Jim Herman +100000

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