2022 British Open Odds, Picks: 3 Players to Target in Betting Market, Including Jon Rahm

The futures market this year has left a lot to be desired.  Especially in the weeks leading up to majors, it's become obvious that sportsbooks don't want to get caught hanging a great number in the futures market and get burned on it later.

However, we’ve seen odds get markedly better on the Monday of the week of the major. After odds “reset” when the week begins, there tends to be much more value in the market available to bettors. Throughout the years, I've noticed that this amplifies even more so for the Open Championship.

Here are some bets that I have my eye on if the price is right.

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Jon Rahm

Rahm's number next week will be greatly impacted by his performance in this week's Scottish Open. If he wins or contends deep into Sunday, it's unlikely that we will get a great number on him for the Open Championship. If he struggles, however, I can envision a scenario similar to the U.S. Open where Rahm could drift into the +1400 to +1600 range.

St. Andrews should be a great spot for the Spaniard. His length and accuracy off the tee will enable him to tear the course apart if the weather allows for it.

Target Number: +1400

Cameron Smith

Despite not having a great deal of success throughout his career in Open Championships, Smith profiles as a player who should contend at St. Andrews.

He's proven to be able to contend in big events and is ready to win his first major championship. We've seen a good deal of crossover over the years with golfers who've excelled at St. Andrews and Augusta National. The Australian's last three trips to the Masters have resulted in finishes of second, 10th and third.

Smith's recent form isn't the best, so there's a chance we get a really enticing number on him come Monday.

Target Number: +3000

Dustin Johnson

Similar to the U.S. Open, I believe that the players who've chosen to go to LIV Golf may provide us with some value at the Open Championship.

Johnson played well at the U.S. Open, gaining 6.92 strokes from tee to green on the field despite incoherent ramblings that he can't compete with the best on TOUR anymore after his defection to LIV Golf. He ranked 15th in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green and followed the performance up with a tied for third-place finish at LIV Portland.

In 2015, DJ held the 54-hole lead for the Open Championship at St. Andrews before faltering in his final round. The fact that he was 10-under and playing incredible golf through three-quarters of the tournament shows me St. Andrews is a great fit for his game.

It can be tough to avoid all of the sellout narratives that accompany the LIV Golf players, but I still believe that Johnson is motivated by major championships.

Target Number: +3500

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