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2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Odds, Picks & Preview: Akshay Bhatia & Aaron Rai Fit Port Royal Golf Course

2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Odds, Picks & Preview: Akshay Bhatia & Aaron Rai Fit Port Royal Golf Course article feature image
Credit:

Via Dylan Buell/Getty Images. Pictured: Akshay Bhatia of the United States lines up a putt on the 11th green during the second round of the Nationwide Children’s Hospital Championship at OSU GC – Scarlet Course on August 26, 2022 in Columbus, Ohio.

  • The Butterfield Bermuda Championship begins Thursday at Port Royal Golf Course.
  • With few elite players in the field, there's value farther down the odds board this week.
  • Matt Vincenzi breaks down his top course fits below, including a play on Akshay Bhatia.
Click arrow to expand 2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship odds via bet365
Player Name Odds
Denny McCarthy +1600
Thomas Detry +2000
Seamus Power +2200
Mark Hubbard +2200
Nick Hardy +2500
Aaron Rai +2500
Adrian Meronk +2500
Justin Lower +2800
Patrick Rodgers +2800
S.H. Kim +3000
Alex Smalley +3300
Stephan Jaeger +3300
Robby Shelton +3500
Russell Knox +3500
Adam Schenk +4000
Brandon Wu +4000
Adam Long +4500
Greyson Sigg +4500
Byeong-Hun An +4500
Will Gordon +5000
Nick Taylor +5000
Callum Tarren +5000
Chesson Hadley +5500
Harry Hall +5500
Garrick Higgo +5500
Erik van Rooyen +6000
Cameron Percy +6000
Sam Ryder +6000
Zecheng Dou +6600
Joseph Bramlett +6600
Lucas Glover +7000
Doug Ghim +7000
Ryan Armour +7000
Michael Gligic +7000
Austin Eckroat +7500
Tyler Duncan +8000
Andrew Novak +8000
Ben Taylor +8000
C.T. Pan +8000
Kramer Hickok +8000
Charley Hoffman +8000
Henrik Norlander +8000
Austin Smotherman +8000
Brice Garnett +8000
Scott Piercy +9000
Kevin Yu +9000
Hank Lebioda +10000
Matti Schmid +10000
Robert Streb +10000
Michael Kim +10000
Ben Griffin +10000
MJ Daffue +10000
Sam Stevens +10000
Luke Donald +10000
Vincent Norrman +10000
Matthias Schwab +10000
Brian Stuard +11000
Nate Lashley +11000
Ben Martin +11000
Camilo Villegas +11000
Austin Cook +12500
Brian Gay +12500
William McGirt +12500
Augusto Nunez +12500
Chad Ramey +12500
Fabian Gomez +14000
Harrison Endycott +14000
Vaughn Taylor +15000
Erik Barnes +15000
David Lingmerth +15000
Cody Gribble +15000
Seung-Yul Noh +15000
Aaron Baddeley +16000
Nicholas Lindheim +16000
Jonathan Byrd +16000
Philip Knowles +17500
Chris Stroud +17500
Scott Gutschewski +17500
Sean O’Hair +17500
Harry Higgs +17500
David Hearn +17500
Brandon Matthews +17500
Kevin Tway +17500
Scott Brown +18000
Tano Goya +20000
Kevin Roy +20000
Brent Grant +22500
Bill Haas +22500
Trevor Cone +22500
Richy Werenski +22500
Grayson Murray +22500
Scott Harrington +25000
Kevin Chappell +25000
Sung Kang +25000
Eric Cole +25000
Nick Watney +27500
John Vanderlaan +27500
Max McGreevy +30000
Nicolas Echavarria +30000
Dylan Wu +30000
Tyson Alexander +35000
Carson Young +35000
Robert Garrigus +35000
Tommy Gainey +35000
Caleb Surratt +35000
Aaron Jarvis +40000
Akshay Bhatia +40000
Kyle Westmoreland +40000
Sangmoon Bae +40000
Greg Chalmers +40000
Wesley Bryan +40000
Ben Crane +40000
Clay Feagler +40000
Chandler Blanchet +40000
Palmer Jackson +40000
Ricky Barnes +45000
James Nicholas +50000
Ryan Brehm +50000
Jonas Blixt +50000
Bo Van Pelt +50000
Martin Trainer +50000
Trevor Werbylo +60000
J.J. Henry +75000
Michael Sims +100000
D.A. Points +100000
Willie Mack III +100000
D.J. Trahan +100000
Greg Koch +125000
John Daly +150000
Nick Jones +250000
Jarryd Dillas +250000
Kim Swan +500000

The PGA TOUR heads to Southampton, Bermuda this week to play the Butterfield Bermuda Championship at Port Royal Golf Course.

Port Royal Golf Club is a 6,828-yard, par-71 layout featuring Bermudagrass greens designed by Robert Trent Jones. This is the fourth edition of the tournament and marks the third time it will be the primary TOUR stop for the week (after being an alternate event). 

The Bermuda Championship field is relatively weak but will feature some interesting names on TOUR such as Garrick Higgo, Thomas Detry, John Daly, Seamus Power and Lucas Glover.

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Bermuda Championship Odds

Past Winners at The Bermuda Championship

  • 2021: Lucas Herbert (-15)
  • 2020: Brian Gay (-15)
  • 2019: Brendon Todd (-24)

Let’s take a look at several metrics for Port Royal Golf Club to determine which golfers boast top marks in each category over their last 24 rounds.


Strokes Gained: Approach

The weaker the field, the more I tend to rely on statistics. Strokes Gained: Approach is a great way to measure current form and shows who is the most dialed in with their irons.

Total Strokes Gained: Approach in past 24 rounds:

  1. Adam Schenk (+19.8) (+4500)
  2. Mark Hubbard (+18.4) (+2500)
  3. Chesson Hadley (+14.4) (+6000)
  4. Ben Griffin (+13.4) (+8000)
  5. Erik Van Rooyen (+11.1) (+6000)

Fairways Gained

The rough at Port Royal Golf Club can actually be quite unforgiving, so it will be important to target accurate golfers. As evidenced by both Brendon Todd and Brian Gay winning here, distance off the tee won’t be much of a factor.

Total Fairways Gained in past 24 rounds:

  1. Ryan Armour (+37.9) (+8000)
  2. Aaron Rai (+37.7) (+3500)
  3. Vaughn Taylor (+26.1) (+20000)
  4. David Lingmerth (+25.8) (+20000)
  5. Lucas Glover (+22.8) (+8000)
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Strokes Gained Putting: Bermudagrass

This is an event that could turn into a putting contest. If the majority of the field is hitting greens in regulation, it might come down to whoever can heat up with the putter. Bermudagrass specialists will have the best chance to do just that at Port Royal.

Total Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermudagrass) in past 24 rounds:

  1. Martin Trainer (+28.0) (+30000)
  2. Brian Gay (+24.6) (+20000)
  3. Johnson Wagner (+19.9) (+50000)
  4. Ben Taylor (+19.7) (+7000)
  5. Thomas Detry (+12.4) (+1800)

Birdies or Better Gained

In 2019, we saw the winner of this event at 24-under par. The past two years, extreme winds made scoring difficult. Regardless of the weather this time around, the winner will likely have plenty of birdies.

Total Birdie or Better Gained in past 24 rounds: 

  1. Ben Griffin (+17.9) (+7000)
  2. Justin Lower (+16.2) (+3000)
  3. Seung-yul Noh (+15.0) (+15000)
  4. Matthias Schmid (+9.8) (+11000)
  5. Thomas Detry (+9.4) (+1800)

Strokes Gained: Short Game

The first three editions of the tournament have been dominated by the players who have the best short games on TOUR. An added emphasis on who’s the best around the green and putting should help narrow down the player pool.

Total Strokes Gained: Short Game in past 24 rounds:

  1. Seung-yul Noh (+24.0) (+25000)
  2. Brian Gay (+23.1) (+10000)
  3. Ricky Barnes (+21.7) (+10000)
  4. Scott Piercy (+18.2) (+6500)
  5. Stephan Jaeger (+17.7) (+3000)
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Statistical Model

Below, I’ve reported overall model rankings using a combination of the five key statistical categories previously discussed.

These rankings are comprised of SG: App (25%); Fairways Gained (21%); SG: Putting bermudagrass (21%); Birdies or better gained (21%) and SG: Short Game (12%)

  1. Adam Long (+4000)
  2. Scott Brown (+13000)
  3. Stephan Jaeger (+3000)
  4. Seonghyeon Kim (+3000)
  5. Denny McCarthy (+1400)
  6. Chesson Hadley(+6000)
  7. Thomas Detry (+1800)
  8. Michael Gligic (+6000)
  9. Aaron Rai (+3500)
  10. Peter Malnati (+8000)

Butterfield Bermuda Championship Best Bets

Aaron Rai +3500 (DraftKings):

Aaron Rai has had a pretty strong start to his 2022-2023 season. He’s finished 20th and 36th in his first two starters and managed to gain 7.0 strokes on approach at The Shriners Children’s Open. He also tied for fifth at last month’s Italian Open on the DP World Tour. 

Rai excels at hitting fairways and ranks third in the field in Fairways Gained over his past 24 rounds. Combining his precision off the tee with his recent strong iron play (sixth in approach), he should be the perfect combination for Port Royal Golf Club.

With four wins on the DP World Tour, he’s a player who knows how to win and is one of the better players in this weak field.

Chesson Hadley +7000 (BetRivers):

Chesson Hadley had a strong season in 2021-2022, and he’s off to a nice start this season as well. He finished 37th in a pretty strong Shriner’s field and more importantly gained 3.0 strokes on approach. 

Hadley played this event in 2020 and was impressive, finishing in 16th place. He ranks third in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach in his past 24 rounds and is the type of player who can get scorching hot on Bermudagrass greens. He’s gained more than 7.0 strokes with the putter seven times in his career, and all seven of those performances came on Bermudagrass greens.

In an event where the best putters have risen to the top, I’ll take the guy who has an enormously high ceiling in that department.

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Scott Piercy +9000 (BetRivers)

Scott Piercy had a commanding lead at the 3M Open before a devastating Sunday collapse. As painful as it was to watch, he played some excellent golf to get himself into contention over the first three rounds of the event. 

Piercy played Port Royal Golf Club back in 2020 and had a strong performance, finishing in 14th place. It’s no surprise that he played well at the course since he has a strong short game (fourth in the field in the past 24 rounds) and can make birdies in bunches (10th in the field in Birdie or Better past 24 rounds).

Piercy also has some success on similar courses in the past. He won the 2015 Barbasol Open at RTJ Trail (Grand National), which was a Robert Trent Jones design as well. He also has a second-place finish at the Sony Open, which is another coastal resort type of course.

He’s hard to trust when he gets in contention, but he’s a better player in this field than the odds suggest.

Akshay Bhatia +25000 (DraftKings)

While he had an up and down season last year on the Korn Ferry Tour, I still believe Akshay Bhatia is a future star. Still just 20 years old, the North Carolina native won the 2019 Jones Cup, was the top ranked junior in the country and was the first high-schooler ever to become a member of the winning United States Walker Cup team in 2019. 

He managed to win his first start on the KFT last year at the Bahamas Great Exuma Classic at Sandals Emerald Bay. His ability to win on a coastal resort course that can play pretty difficult should aid him in his efforts to contend in Bermuda. 

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