2022 Charles Schwab Challenge Odds, Picks: 2 Outright Bets & 1 DFS Target

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We have yet to hit a winner since I started writing this weekly betting preview, but that should change soon enough.

When it comes to my betting cards, I've had the runner-up each of the last two weeks. If anything, I'd say we are trending in the right direction. After the year's second major, the PGA TOUR heads back to Texas for the Charles Schwab Challenge.

Unlike the last two weeks, we have plenty of course history and course data to work with for this event. Colonial Country Club has been a regular stop on the PGA TOUR for many years. The course is a par-70 that measures just over 7,200 yards. The course won't play as difficult as Southern Hills last week, but it does have some teeth. It has ranked in the top 20 in difficulty in each of the last five years and the early-week forecast calls for some heavy wind on Saturday and Sunday.

There isn't one specific type of golfer that contends at Colonial every year. Many short game specialists have excelled here in the past (Kevin Na, Jordan Spieth, Kevin Kisner, Brian Harman, etc.), but we've also seen Daniel Berger and Jason Kokrak in the winner's circle the last two years. Ultimately, golfers need to keep the ball in play off the tee and be solid with the rest of their game. The greens here are small and tough to hit, which puts an emphasis on the short game.

Before we get into the picks, I should also note that course history here is predictive year in and year out. The golfers that have played well here in the past tend to play well here again. In fact, we haven't had a first-timer win this event in over 20 years. Trends are made to be broken, but I am avoiding those that are making their first appearance at this event.

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Favorite Bet: Kevin Na +5000

If Na is able to win the Charles Schwab Challenge for the second time in his career, golf Twitter can all celebrate together. He is seemingly one of the more popular bets of the week and you can still find him at +5000 on the FanDuel.

While Na struggles mightily off the tee, a lot of that is negated this week. He has gained over 14 strokes on approach in his last three starts and he might be the best scrambler on the PGA TOUR. The putter can be hit or miss, but we know he's capable of gaining five or more strokes with the flat-stick on any given week.

Favorite Longshot: Cameron Tringale +10000

While Na is a popular bet this week, I am on Tringale island.

At this point last season, he was a popular DFS value and a popular longshot bet. It seems like everyone has forgotten about him, even though he is starting to flash some consistency.

Tringale has gained on approach in 10 of his last 11 starts, and his skillset matches the course perfectly. His irons are locked in, he's underrated around the green, and he's one of the best putters on TOUR on bentgrass greens.

Tringale is still searching for his first win on the PGA TOUR, so I'm backing up this outright bet with a top five bet as well.

Favorite DFS Value: Brian Harman $7,800 DK / $9,500 FD

Harman sticks out like a sore thumb this week when it comes to DFS. He has really turned his driving around this year and has gained over 10 strokes on approach in his last two events. If the driver continues to cooperate and if he gains strokes with his irons, I don't envision a scenario where he doesn't pay off this cheap price point. He has an elite short game and he loves it around Colonial. He has made eight straight cuts at this event and all of those finishes ended up being in the top 35.

Good luck this week!

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