2022 Fortinet Championship Odds & Sleeper Picks: 5 Longshots to Bet, Featuring Joel Dahmen, Beau Hossler & Justin Suh

A new PGA Tour season dawns amidst the chaos of the splintering golf world. For bettors, that makes things interesting throughout the fall swing.

This will be the final year the PGA Tour uses the fall schedule as part of its year-long wraparound season as major changes are coming the schedule next year.

The Fortinet Championship marks the start of the marathon chase for the FedEx Cup and an opportunity for the Tour’s rookies and lower-tier players. It's also an opportune time for bettors to look for dark-horse winners.

The re-stocked and re-shuffled PGA Tour cards give plenty of new and emerging players a chance to win. Let’s find a few that make sense as outright picks in Napa this weekend.

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Taylor Montgomery +5000 and Justin Suh +6500 (DraftKings)

Every year, the rookies elevated from the Korn Ferry Tour to the PGA TOUR enter the fray having played great golf to close the summer. That routinely leads to them hovering near the top of the leaderboard and earning wins in the fall.

This year, the two prime names to watch in that space are Montgomery and Suh. The 27-year-old Montgomery is red hot, having finished in the top 10 of all four Korn Ferry Tour events he played after July 4th. Montgomery made 16 Korn Ferry Tour starts this year and missed just three cuts. He also scored 12 finishes in the top 15. That kind of consistency translates well to the next level.

Suh similarly showed promise on the Korn Ferry Tour, nabbing 16 top 20s over his past 20 events and finishing with a victory at the Korn Ferry Tour Championship. Best of all, he’s seen Silverado North before, having played this event last year, during which he made the cut thanks to three under-par rounds.

Chez Reavie +8000 (Parx)

Reavie won on TOUR last year and there’s no reason to think he can’t kick this season off with another victory.

He brings a wealth of experience to this venue as he's tied for the most rounds at Silverado North in the field. He's made eight cuts in his eight career starts at this event, including three top 20s and a top-5 finish (T3 in 2021).

Reavie hasn’t missed a cut since the John Deere Classic in July and knows this course well. This is the type of event he can win.

Beau Hossler +13000 (DraftKings)

Throughout the 2022 FedEx Cup season, Hossler played the kind of high-variance golf that can lead to a win.

He was up and down, but his ups showed promise. His good weeks led to strong results, with seven finishes of T21 or better. His great weeks put him in position to win with the right break or a hot putter down the stretch. He finished third at Pebble Beach at was T4 at the Valero Texas Open.

If he continues to give himself chances every once in a while, Hossler will steal a win at some point. Against this week’s field, he has a chance. He was T23 here two years ago and posted a strong T16 last season.

Joel Dahmen +18000 (DraftKings)

Dahmen would be the first to tell you the end of his 2022 FedEx Cup Season wasn't great. He hasn’t had a top-65 finish since his T10 at the US Open and hasn’t posted a top 5 on the PGA TOUR yet in 2022.

However, against a field like the one teeing it up in Napa this weekend, Dahmen is too good of a player to be offered at odds like this. He has a prior win on TOUR, two other professional wins and multiple top 10s in major championships.

Having not played in a month, I expect to see Dahmen shake off the rust and outperform expectations this weekend. Even if his outright odds don’t catch your eye, Dahmen being offered at +1200 to finish in the top 10 is a must bet.