2022 John Deere Classic: Webb Simpson, Adam Hadwin Top Odds Board Without Daniel Berger

2022 John Deere Classic Odds

Odds via WynnBet.

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While the PGA TOUR’s elite turns its sights toward the Open Championship, the John Deere Classic offers a big chance for players to make a big impact on the FedEx Cup race.

With Daniel Berger's withdrawal on Monday morning, Adam Hadwin is the new betting favorite at DraftKings. He's followed by TOUR veteran Webb Simpson, who is atop the board at BetMGM and FanDuel.

Hadwin has four top-10s this year, including at the PLAYERS Championship and U.S. Open. He held the first-round lead at The Country Club last month before finishing T7. The Canadian has made four straight PGA TOUR cuts and is 45th in the FedEx Cup standings and 80th in the Official World Golf Rankings.

Simpson has dealt with injuries throughout 2022 and will no doubt be using this tournament as a chance to make up some ground in the FedEx Cup race, in which he ranks 104th. Simpson ranks 58th in the Official World Golf Rankings after starting the year at 27th.

This week will hopefully be a good chance to get more acquainted with some of the TOUR’s young talent, players like Maverick McNealy and Sahith Theegala.

McNealy has been a cut-making machine in 2022, making the weekend in 11 of his 14 starts this year. The problem has been his inability to contend. The 26-year-old has just one top-10 result, a T7 at the Genesis Invitational in February, and he wasn’t fighting for a title that week.

Theegala has found himself toward the top of leaderboards this year. He infamously got a very unlucky bounce on the 16th hole on Sunday at the Waste Management Open as the leader, leading to him settling for a T3. He recently finished T5 at the Memorial and put together a strong showing at the Travelers, although his 72nd-hole double bogey will overshadow that.

Brendon Todd opened the week at 33-1 on BetMGM. He’s another player, like Adam Long at the same number, who has been playing well of late but wouldn’t normally get a number that low next to his name on odds boards. Todd has two top-10s since the start of April, and he was T13 at the RBC Canadian Open.

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Course Preview

Don’t expect TPC Deere Run to put up much of a fight to players.

Since Steve Stricker began his run of back-to-back-to-back wins in 2009, only three winners of this tournament have failed to score 20-under par or better. Those three players were Jordan Spieth back in 2013 (19-under), Bryson DeChambeau in ’17 (18-under) and Lucas Glover last year (19-under).

Deere Run plays as a par-71, just shy of 7,300 yards. It’s such a scoring paradise because of its wide fairways, which allow players to be pretty aggressive off the tee.

With the low scores, players who can get birdies together in bunches will obviously thrive. Entering last year's tournament, 12 of the 18 holes had a historically under-par average. Whoever can be dialed in on approach and have a strong week with the putter will likely thrive.

Past Winners

Stricker is in the field this week. He isn’t likely to add a fourth John Deere Classic win to his mantle, but his run from 2009-11 was incredible for any TOUR player at one tournament. He went 20-under, 26-under and 22-under to claim three straight wins in the Quad Cities.

As mentioned Spieth and DeChambeau have wins here, with the former having done in twice in 2013 and ’15.

Last year, Lucas Glover bested Ryan Moore and Kevin Na by two strokes. The tournament was canceled in 2020 because of the pandemic. Dylan Frittelli won in 2019 at 21-under, and Michael Kim set a course record with a stellar 27-under showing back in 2018 for an eight-stroke win.

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