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2022 Memorial Tournament FRL Odds & Picks: Hideki Matsuyama, 3 More Players to Bet for First-Round Leader

2022 Memorial Tournament FRL Odds & Picks: Hideki Matsuyama, 3 More Players to Bet for First-Round Leader article feature image
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Richard Heathcote/Getty Images. Pictured: Hideki Matsuyama.

Click arrow to expand 2022 Memorial Tournament odds via BetMGM

2022 Memorial Tournament Odds

Golfer Odds
Jon Rahm +1000
Rory McIlroy +1100
Patrick Cantlay +1600
Xander Schauffele +1800
Collin Morikawa +2000
Jordan Spieth +2000
Cameron Smith +2200
Matt Fitzpatrick +2500
Shane Lowry +2500
Viktor Hovland +2500
Hideki Matsuyama +2800
Will Zalatoris +2800
Cameron Young +3300
Max Homa +3300
Sungjae Im +3300
Joaquin Niemann +4000
Mito Pereira +4000
Patrick Reed +4000
Davis Riley +4000
Chris Kirk +5000
Daniel Berger +5000
Seamus Power +5000
Corey Conners +6000
Abraham Ancer +6600
Keegan Bradley +6600
Billy Horschel +6600
Adam Scott +8000
Aaron Wise +8000
Bryson DeChambeau +8000
Jason Day +8000
Marc Leishman +8000
Matt Kuchar +8000
Alex Noren +8000
Brian Harman +10000
Cam Davis +10000
Gary Woodland +10000
Ryan Palmer +10000
Scott Stallings +10000
Si Woo Kim +10000
Tom Hoge +10000
Adam Long +12500
Brendan Steele +12500
C.T. Pan +12500
Cameron Tringale +12500
Harris English +12500
Kevin Streelman +12500
Lucas Herbert +12500
Matt Jones +12500
Rickie Fowler +12500
Russell Knox +12500
Adam Hadwin +15000
Anirban Lahiri +15000
Cameron Champ +15000
Denny McCarthy +15000
Erik van Rooyen +15000
Jhonattan Vegas +15000
K.H. Lee +15000
Keith Mitchell +15000
Lucas Glover +15000
Luke List +15000
Pat Perez +15000
Patrick Rodgers +15000
Stewart Cink +15000
Troy Merritt +15000
Aaron Rai +15000
David Lipsky +15000
J.T. Poston +15000
Alex Smalley +20000
Andrew Putnam +20000
Beau Hossler +20000
Doug Ghim +20000
Francesco Molinari +20000
Kurt Kitayama +20000
Lanto Griffin +20000
Mackenzie Hughes +20000
Matthew NeSmith +20000
Matthew Wolff +20000
Sepp Straka +20000
Nate Lashley +20000
Adam Svensson +25000
Chad Ramey +25000
Charles Howell III +25000
Danny Willett +25000
Emiliano Grillo +25000
Joel Dahmen +25000
Martin Laird +25000
Patton Kizzire +25000
Ryan Moore +25000
Sahith Theegala +25000
Adam Schenk +30000
Brandon Wu +30000
Brandt Snedeker +30000
Carlos Ortiz +30000
Charley Hoffman +30000
Danny Lee +30000
Peter Malnati +30000
Rafa Cabrera-Bello +30000
Taylor Moore +30000
Wyndham Clark +30000
Justin Lower +35000
Luke Donald +35000
Min Woo Lee +35000
Robert Streb +35000
Bo Hoag +40000
Brandon Hagy +40000
Garrick Higgo +40000
Hudson Swafford +40000
Kramer Hickok +40000
Camilo Villegas +50000
David Lingmerth +50000
Jason Dufner +50000
Jediah Morgan +50000
Nick Watney +50000
William McGirt +50000
Sam Ryder +50000
Chan Kim +75000
John Pak +75000
Ryan Brehm +75000
Curtis Luck +100000
James Piot +150000
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Historically at Muirfield Village, there hasn’t been a major advantage for either morning or afternoon starters in terms of the first-round leader market at the Memorial Tournament. During the past 10 years of the event, there has been a 50-50 split of first-round leaders to come from AM and PM starting times.

When looking at the wind forecast in Fort Worth for Thursday’s first round, it appears that the wind may pick up slightly in the afternoon. But, as of now it’s nothing significant enough to sway me from PM starters.

2022 Memorial Tournament FRL Picks

Hideki Matsuyama +3500

The way to go low at Muirfield Village is to lock-in on approach. Two starts ago at the Byron Nelson, Hideki Matsuyama led the field in approach by almost a full shot. His strong iron performance was squarely in line with what we’ve seen from Matsuyama all season long. I expect it to continue.

Matsuyama tends to start fast when he finds his rhythm in an event. He ranks eighth in the field in Strokes Gained: Total in the first round.


Gary Woodland (+7000)

Woodland has been a difficult player to get right this season. In events where it would seem that everything lines up for him to play well, he disappoints. In events for which he doesn’t seem to be a great fit, he surprises. This week, he’s a strong candidate to be the latter.

The 38-year-old has a strong course history at Muirfield Village, finishing fourth in 2016 and cracking the top 5 in the Workday Charity Open in 2020. He was excellent at the Honda Classic earlier this year, which is also a Jack Nicklaus design.

It’s been an up-and-down year for Woodland, but he has a chance to feast on the par 5’s at Muirfield and get off to a fast start in Round 1.


Jason Day (+7000)

There’s always a chance that the Jason Day who has struggled for the last several years on TOUR will show up to Muirfield Village this week. There’s also a chance that we see the version of Jason Day that posted a 7-under 63 to claim the first-round lead at the Wells Fargo Championship last month.

Day has plenty of familiarity with Muirfield Village, and while his results at the course haven’t been spectacular, his last two starts have been exceptional. He finished seventh at the 2020 Workday Charity Open and finished fourth at the Memorial Tournament the following week.

The tougher set-up should suit Day, whose around-the-green game and putting has come around of late. Day has  gained strokes around the green in four consecutive events and has gained strokes putting in two consecutive events.


Adam Long (+11000)

Adam Long had a hot iron week last week at the Charles Schwab Challenge, which bodes well given the added emphasis of iron play at Muirfield Village. Long gained 6.0 strokes on approach at Colonial, which was the second-best Strokes Gained: Approach performance of his career.

The 34-year-old has been solid at Muirfield Village throughout his career and had his best finish-to-date (26th) in last year’s Memorial Tournament. It will take a great putting round from a player like Long to capture the first-round lead this week, but that’s something he’s shown he’s capable of in the past. Since 2019, Long has gained more than four strokes putting in an event on 10 occasions.

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